Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T23:29:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
19 0x19c9…ab33 crypto 174 markets active 1h ago coverage 5d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$8 (+0%) realized +$8 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR14%break-even
Win rate91%159W / 15L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day44.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 174 -0.2% -9.7% 91% 14% -9.4%
≤30d 174 -0.2% -9.7% 91% 14% -9.4%
≤90d 174 -0.2% -9.7% 91% 14% -9.4%
all 174 -0.2% -9.7% 91% 14% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover44.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 14% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 7% -18.0%
15% -26.2% 3% -26.0%
20% -33.5% 1% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
84% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -2% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$4 · ×0.09 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.97 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses159 / 15
Open positions0
Markets (closed)174 / 174
History coverage5d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day44.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 174 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 25 $18 −$10 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 25 $31 −$13 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 25 $24 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 25 $31 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 25 $31 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 25 $31 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 25 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET SELL Up 27¢ $8 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $18 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 380 history records