Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:26:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

19
0x19ca…1400
crypto · 122 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$84 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$84 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$84
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses50 / 72
Open positions0
Markets (closed)122 / 122
History coverage17d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day16.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 122 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days−$22
14 days−$12
30 days−$84
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$2 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$3 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$3 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$1 -16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$84
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Up 32¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $4 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Down 86¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $4 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $4 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Down 85¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $3 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-15.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 97 -7.3% -16.1% 38% 31% -12.7%
≤30d 122 -6.3% -15.2% 41% 34% -19.8%
≤90d 122 -6.3% -15.2% 41% 34% -19.8%
all 122 -6.3% -15.2% 41% 34% -19.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.2% 34% -19.8%
10% -23.3% 24% -27.5%
15% -30.7% 18% -34.5%
20% -37.5% 11% -40.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 277 history records