Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:00:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0x19ca…35e5

tech · 10 markets active 1h ago

4.5score

+$38 +1%

TOTAL PnL · realized +$38 · open −$1

avoidriskycopy

~ RISKY tech specialist⚠ Small sample

Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗

Net worth$1,045

Realized+$38

Unrealized−$1

Win rate (resolved)100%

Wins / losses7 / 0

Open positions3

Markets (closed)7 / 10

History coverage73d

Avg bet$310

Trades / day0.1

Drawdown0%

Kalshi-fit100%

Chart Positions 3 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage

1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

2 days+$2

7 days+$2

14 days+$2

30 days+$38

Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket

Market	outcome	entry	now	invested	value	unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?	No	100¢	100¢	$449	$449	−$0 (-0%)
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$300	$299	−$0 (-0%)
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	99¢	99¢	$297	$297	−$0 (-0%)

Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).

Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first

Market	when	invested	PnL	ROI
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Jun 14	$346	$0	+0%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Jun 14	$349	+$1	+0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Jun 14	$349	+$1	+0%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	May 19	$112	+$1	+0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	May 19	$131	+$2	+2%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April	May 19	$369	+$13	+4%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	May 19	$396	+$21	+5%

Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.

tech 59% +$34

crypto 26% $0

finance 16% +$3

Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

Latest trades by this wallet

Market	side	price	size	when
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?	BUY No	100¢	$449	1h
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	BUY No	100¢	$300	1h
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3	BUY No	99¢	$297	1h
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	BUY No	100¢	$346	25d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	BUY No	100¢	$349	25d
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	BUY No	100¢	$349	25d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	BUY No	98¢	$131	72d
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April	BUY Yes	96¢	$369	72d
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	BUY No	100¢	$112	72d
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	BUY Yes	95¢	$396	72d

From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.

insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge

break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even

chance a trade nets +0%

net ROI/market (all)-8.1%

timeframe	markets	gross ROI	NET ROI	gross WR	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
≤7d	3	+0.2%	-9.4%	100%	0%	-9.4%
≤30d	7	+1.6%	-8.1%	100%	0%	-7.8%
≤90d	7	+1.6%	-8.1%	100%	0%	-7.8%
all	7	+1.6%	-8.1%	100%	0%	-7.8%

gross = as the leader traded. net = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

turnover0.1 tr/day

realistic slip~5%

edge survives to0%

copier slippage	NET ROI	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here	-8.1%	0%	-7.8%
10%	-16.9%	0%	-16.7%
15%	-24.9%	0%	-24.7%
20%	-32.3%	0%	-32.1%

Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a trap: leader profits, you lose.

✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,044.83 · official $1,044.83 (match) · 17 history records