Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T08:00:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

19
0x19cc…ca7d
crypto · 949 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$667 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$667 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$667
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses559 / 564
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1123 / 949
Avg bet$11
Trades / day127.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1123 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$520
7 days−$572
14 days−$542
30 days−$667
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$11 +1697%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$46 +64936%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$60 +25336%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$4 -2721%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$16 -19903%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +188%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$11 +28185%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$5 +932%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$7 -2113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$19 -5271%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$12 -4492%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$39 -17220%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$16 -28097%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -804%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$10 -1683%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -415%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +846%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +223%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$22 -215%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$20 -2378%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -3132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$14 -3044%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -742%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$7 -1676%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$24 +4613%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$33 -29136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$15 -3027%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$25 -2650%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$62 +33412%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$30 +65138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$8 +1436%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$6 +2698%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +597%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$4 -5672%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$9 -2793%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$18 -4655%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$7 +3502%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$54 -18181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +544%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$50 -308%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$3 +1034%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$39 -7337%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$146
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)+75.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 361 +257.4% +223.4% 50% 50% -28.3%
≤30d 1123 +93.8% +75.3% 50% 40% -11.7%
≤90d 1123 +93.8% +75.3% 50% 40% -11.7%
all 1123 +93.8% +75.3% 50% 40% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover127.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +75.3% 40% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here +58.6% 33% -20.1%
15% +43.2% 27% -27.9%
20% +29.2% 23% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records