trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +315.5% | +275.9% | 50% | 50% | -4.4% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +315.5% | +275.9% | 50% | 50% | -4.4% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +58.0% | +42.9% | 67% | 44% | -16.6% |
| all | 9 | +58.0% | +42.9% | 67% | 44% | -16.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +42.9% | 44% | -16.6% |
| 10% | +29.2% | 33% | -24.5% |
| 15% | +16.7% | 22% | -31.8% |
| 20% | +5.3% | 11% | -38.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 44¢ | 52¢ | $3,747 | $4,381 | +$634 (+17%) |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | No | 44¢ | 96¢ | $600 | $1,302 | +$702 (+117%) |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | Yes | 49¢ | 68¢ | $665 | $922 | +$257 (+39%) |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 65¢ | 69¢ | $131 | $140 | +$9 (+7%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | Jun 19 | $25 | +$160 | +638% |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? | Jun 18 | $1,205 | −$90 | -8% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Apr 21 | $1,079 | −$1,079 | -100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Apr 08 | $39 | −$39 | -100% |
| Will Iran strike Oman again in March? | Apr 05 | $551 | +$188 | +34% |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | Apr 04 | $49 | +$2 | +4% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Apr 01 | $3,517 | +$32 | +1% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | Apr 01 | $1,000 | +$132 | +13% |
| Will MrBeast hit 474 Million subscribers by March 31? | Apr 01 | $250 | +$95 | +38% |