Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:07:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

19
0x19cd…af9a
crypto · 108 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,103 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,401 · open −$1,241
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5,919
Realized+$2,401
Unrealized−$1,241
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses36 / 52
Open positions20
Markets (closed)88 / 108
History coverage1d
Avg bet$320
Trades / day3302.0
Drawdown8%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 20 History 88 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,401
7 days+$2,401
14 days+$2,401
30 days+$2,401
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $150 $298 +$148 (+99%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $152 $295 +$143 (+94%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $150 $294 +$144 (+96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $146 $276 +$129 (+88%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 50¢ 91¢ $150 $273 +$123 (+82%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $143 $268 +$125 (+87%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 54¢ 92¢ $157 $265 +$108 (+69%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 53¢ 88¢ $158 $262 +$103 (+65%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 51¢ 81¢ $153 $245 +$91 (+60%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 51¢ 81¢ $148 $237 +$90 (+61%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 52¢ 55¢ $156 $162 +$6 (+4%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 52¢ 52¢ $156 $157 +$1 (+1%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 50¢ 52¢ $147 $155 +$8 (+6%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $150 $152 +$2 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $150 $152 +$2 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 48¢ 52¢ $141 $151 +$10 (+7%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $150 $150 +$0 (+0%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $150 $150 +$0 (+0%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $150 $150 +$0 (+0%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $150 $150 +$0 (+0%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $150 $150 +$0 (+0%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $150 $150 +$0 (+0%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $150 $150 +$0 (+0%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $150 $150 +$0 (+0%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $150 $148 −$2 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $347 +$3 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $357 +$30 +8%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $300 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $300 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $325 −$2 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $358 −$15 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $394 +$17 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $396 −$15 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $385 +$9 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $361 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $360 +$4 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $321 +$6 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $300 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $370 −$10 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $348 −$15 -4%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $300 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $438 +$11 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $321 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $341 −$8 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $351 −$3 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $365 +$7 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $300 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $300 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $478 +$42 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $310 −$3 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $337 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $387 +$19 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $328 −$12 -4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $362 −$23 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $393 −$20 -5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $311 −$2 -1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $300 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $317 −$2 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $353 −$2 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $337 −$21 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $439 +$26 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $307 +$3 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $383 +$10 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $300 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $358 −$11 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $316 +$10 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $300 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $300 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $441 +$57 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $350 −$10 -3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $323 −$6 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $348 −$22 -6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $330 −$10 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $353 −$21 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $439 −$131 -30%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 83% +$1,434
other 17% −$273
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $0 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $8 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $1 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $6 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $12 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $14 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $5 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $8 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $8 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $8 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Down 11¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $13 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $9 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Down 22¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $4 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 0m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)+101.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 88 +122.2% +101.1% 41% 15% -2.9%
≤30d 88 +122.2% +101.1% 41% 15% -2.9%
≤90d 88 +122.2% +101.1% 41% 15% -2.9%
all 88 +122.2% +101.1% 41% 15% -2.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3302.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +101.1% 15% -2.9%
10% ← realistic here +81.8% 11% -12.2%
15% +64.3% 9% -20.7%
20% +48.2% 9% -28.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5,918.52 · official $5,921.24 (match) · 3500 history records