trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | +92.1% | +73.8% | 71% | 71% | +51.9% |
| ≤30d | 33 | +49.8% | +35.5% | 58% | 58% | +19.2% |
| ≤90d | 33 | +49.8% | +35.5% | 58% | 58% | +19.2% |
| all | 33 | +49.8% | +35.5% | 58% | 58% | +19.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +35.5% | 58% | +19.2% |
| 10% | +22.5% | 58% | +7.8% |
| 15% | +10.7% | 55% | -2.7% |
| 20% | -0.2% | 52% | -12.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 19¢ | $13,000 | $13,446 | +$446 (+3%) |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 3¢ | $1,000 | $2,875 | +$1,875 (+188%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $1,500 | $1,486 | −$14 (-1%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 14¢ | $1,500 | $1,298 | −$202 (-13%) |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 34¢ | 34¢ | $550 | $542 | −$8 (-1%) |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 52¢ | 52¢ | $400 | $404 | +$4 (+1%) |
| Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) | Korea Republic | 33¢ | 32¢ | $280 | $276 | −$4 (-2%) |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Switzerland | 20¢ | 20¢ | $200 | $195 | −$5 (-2%) |
| Spread: Paraguay (-1.5) | Paraguay | 13¢ | 13¢ | $150 | $145 | −$5 (-3%) |
| Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Yes | 24¢ | 30¢ | $100 | $123 | +$23 (+23%) |
| Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw? | Yes | 32¢ | 32¢ | $100 | $98 | −$2 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $505 | +$168 | +33% |
| Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $26 | −$25 | -97% |
| Spread: Portugal (-2.5) | Jun 23 | $285 | +$414 | +145% |
| Spread: England (-2.5) | Jun 23 | $255 | −$250 | -98% |
| Spread: France (-2.5) | Jun 23 | $557 | +$425 | +76% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $303 | +$151 | +50% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 22 | $153 | +$222 | +145% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $1,265 | +$782 | +62% |
| Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $154 | −$150 | -98% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $103 | +$655 | +638% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $17 | +$72 | +414% |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $153 | +$78 | +51% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $102 | +$298 | +291% |
| Spread: Brazil (-2.5) | Jun 20 | $61 | +$55 | +90% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $1,013 | +$712 | +70% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $82 | −$80 | -98% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $308 | −$300 | -98% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $253 | +$210 | +83% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $359 | −$350 | -98% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $51 | +$30 | +60% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $152 | −$150 | -98% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $510 | +$403 | +79% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $205 | −$200 | -98% |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $205 | −$195 | -96% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $51 | −$50 | -97% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $510 | +$1,019 | +200% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $184 | +$646 | +350% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $508 | +$323 | +64% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $2,040 | −$678 | -33% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 03 | $4,992 | −$4,939 | -99% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $14,962 | +$10,488 | +70% |