Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:23:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

19
0x19fc…1a12
crypto · 395 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$56 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$60 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$50
Realized+$60
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses148 / 246
Open positions1
Markets (closed)394 / 395
History coverage15d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day208.4
Drawdown89%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 394 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$86
7 days−$45
14 days+$129
30 days+$60
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 28¢ 100¢ $14 $50 +$36 (+250%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$26 +135%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$8 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$7 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$9 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$41 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$10 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$4 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$2 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$17 +223%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$13 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$20 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$24 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $19 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $24 +$21 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $23 +$12 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 11 $36 +$24 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $33 +$32 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 10 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 10 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 10 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 10 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$3 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 10 $12 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 10 $7 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 10 $7 +$3 +35%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$56
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-15.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 169 -15.5% -23.6% 34% 31% -11.7%
≤30d 394 -6.8% -15.7% 38% 36% -10.2%
≤90d 394 -6.8% -15.7% 38% 36% -10.2%
all 394 -6.8% -15.7% 38% 36% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover208.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.7% 36% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -23.8% 35% -18.8%
15% -31.1% 34% -26.7%
20% -37.9% 31% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $49.87 · official $49.87 (match) · 3500 history records