Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T02:31:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
1A 0x1a0f…7a03 crypto 75 markets active 0h ago coverage 3d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$1,307 (+20%) realized +$1,307 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate44%33W / 42L
Drawdown89%max
Avg bet$88per market
Trades / day43.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$859
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-19.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 75 -10.7% -19.2% 44% 44% +2.4%
≤30d 75 -10.7% -19.2% 44% 44% +2.4%
≤90d 75 -10.7% -19.2% 44% 44% +2.4%
all 75 -10.7% -19.2% 44% 44% +2.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover43.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.2% 44% +2.4%
10% ← realistic here -27.0% 40% -7.4%
15% -34.0% 39% -16.3%
20% -40.5% 37% -24.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 25% · top 2 34% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +13% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt +13% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late -13% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$105 vs −$62 · ×1.69 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.33 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,307
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses33 / 42
Open positions0
Markets (closed)75 / 75
History coverage3d
Avg bet$88
Trades / day43.8
Drawdown89%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 75 Trades
no open positions (21 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 23 $20 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 23 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 23 $21 +$15 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 23 $52 +$58 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 23 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 23 $21 +$19 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 23 $15 +$9 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 23 $16 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 23 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 23 $62 +$60 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 23 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 23 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 23 $31 +$36 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 23 $32 −$6 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 23 $206 +$42 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 23 $36 +$23 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 23 $157 +$38 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 23 $312 −$300 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 23 $115 +$48 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 23 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 23 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 23 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 23 $10 +$11 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 23 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 23 $10 +$21 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 22 $11 +$8 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 22 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 22 $11 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 22 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 22 $106 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 22 $316 +$858 +272%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 22 $313 +$215 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 22 $311 −$311 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 22 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 22 $103 +$59 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 22 $104 +$109 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 22 $310 +$250 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 22 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 22 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 22 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 22 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 22 $205 −$53 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 22 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 22 $89 −$89 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 22 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 22 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 22 $207 −$207 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $25 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $20 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $53 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $36 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $21 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $110 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $52 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $12 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $41 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $39 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $21 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $24 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $15 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $16 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $39 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $37 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $46 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Down 13¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $16 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 160 history records