Wallet analysis

2026-06-21T01:42:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
1A 0x1a24…fd20 crypto 139 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (456 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$43 (+1%) realized +$43 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate50%70W / 69L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$29per market
Trades / day456.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$336
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (456 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-17.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 139 -9.0% -17.7% 50% 43% -17.2%
≤30d 139 -9.0% -17.7% 50% 43% -17.2%
≤90d 139 -9.0% -17.7% 50% 43% -17.2%
all 139 -9.0% -17.7% 50% 43% -17.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover456.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.7% 43% -17.2%
10% ← realistic here -25.6% 35% -25.1%
15% -32.8% 29% -32.4%
20% -39.4% 19% -39.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 16% · top 2 25% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
13% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -11% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$13 vs −$18 · ×0.71 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.73 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$43
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses70 / 69
Open positions0
Markets (closed)139 / 139
History coverage1d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day456.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 139 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 21 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 21 $10 $0 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 21 $6 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 21 $75 −$75 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 21 $17 −$17 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 21 $21 −$18 -87%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 21 $1 +$3 +240%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 21 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 21 $78 +$31 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 21 $13 +$22 +166%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 21 $6 +$1 +21%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 21 $11 −$8 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 21 $69 −$65 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 21 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 21 $6 +$3 +42%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 21 $24 −$24 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 21 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 21 $71 −$71 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 21 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 21 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 21 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 21 $10 +$7 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 21 $134 −$131 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 21 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 20 $10 +$16 +159%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 20 $211 +$35 +17%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 20 $6 +$3 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 20 $12 $0 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 20 $9 −$5 -55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 20 $104 +$67 +64%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 20 $19 −$4 -21%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 20 $6 +$2 +42%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 20 $6 +$1 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 20 $6 +$3 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 20 $9 +$3 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 20 $65 +$34 +52%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 20 $4 +$9 +206%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 20 $18 −$7 -39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 20 $33 −$26 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 20 $176 −$66 -38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 20 $79 +$36 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 20 $92 −$13 -14%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 20 $18 +$1 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 20 $19 +$4 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 20 $8 +$14 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 20 $71 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 20 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 20 $7 +$2 +31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $11 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $4 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $0 33m
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $11 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $75 36m
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $6 36m
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $8 38m
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $3 39m
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $7 40m
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 42m
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $6 47m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $78 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $4 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $13 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 56m
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up 68¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $69 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $6 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $8 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $7 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 591 history records