Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T17:43:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
1A 0x1a53…7730 crypto 1873 markets active 3d ago coverage 15d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 15d only
✗ bot/MM pace (124 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$12 (-1%) realized −$12 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR61%break-even
Win rate61%1226W / 774L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day124.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$188
7 days−$466
14 days−$305
30 days−$155
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$33
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (124 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)-16.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 942 -49.0% -53.9% 34% 34% -53.6%
≤30d 2000 -8.1% -16.9% 61% 61% -16.4%
≤90d 2000 -8.1% -16.9% 61% 61% -16.4%
all 2000 -8.1% -16.9% 61% 61% -16.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover124.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.9% 61% -16.4%
10% ← realistic here -24.8% 61% -24.4%
15% -32.1% 59% -31.7%
20% -38.8% 23% -38.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +29% → late -45% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.51 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.8 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

15d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses1226 / 774
Open positions0
Markets (closed)2000 / 1873
History coverage15d ⚠
Avg bet$1
Trades / day124.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 2000 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records