Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:40:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1A
0x1a56…f475
crypto · 515 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$465 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$415 · open −$50
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$153
Realized−$415
Unrealized−$50
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses238 / 276
Open positions1
Markets (closed)514 / 515
History coverage2d
Avg bet$62
Trades / day1211.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 514 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$419
7 days−$415
14 days−$415
30 days−$415
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 59¢ 90¢ $88 $137 +$48 (+55%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 39¢ 10¢ $67 $16 −$50 (-76%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $116 +$24 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $113 −$18 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $119 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $125 +$24 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $61 +$10 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $81 −$21 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $139 −$18 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $64 −$4 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $62 +$20 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$20 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $74 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$16 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $80 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$13 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$8 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$11 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $54 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $63 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $43 +$16 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$13 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$8 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$13 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$14 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$12 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $34 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $55 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $52 +$19 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $92 −$13 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $48 +$12 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$7 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$27 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$1 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$465
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $20 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $20 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $9 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $19 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $18 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $16 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $17 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $16 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $6 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $19 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $11 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $14 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $13 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $13 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $19 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $21 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $21 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $20 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $13 18m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 514 -4.7% -13.8% 46% 33% -10.7%
≤30d 514 -4.7% -13.8% 46% 33% -10.7%
≤90d 514 -4.7% -13.8% 46% 33% -10.7%
all 514 -4.7% -13.8% 46% 33% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1211.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.8% 33% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -22.0% 24% -19.3%
15% -29.6% 19% -27.1%
20% -36.5% 14% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $153.03 · official $155.97 · 3500 history records