Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:30:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
1A 0x1a77…1324 crypto 393 markets active 1h ago coverage 15d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (85 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ profit hinges on one bet (luck, not edge)✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$1,413 (+13%) realized +$1,413 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR7%break-even
Win rate81%319W / 74L
Drawdown17%max
Avg bet$28per market
Trades / day84.7pace
Fees−$23est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,445
7 days+$1,579
14 days+$1,377
30 days+$1,370
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 86% −$120
sports 14% +$1,490
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (85 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 127 +2.8% -7.0% 100% 2% +7.4%
≤30d 393 -3.4% -12.6% 81% 7% +2.1%
≤90d 393 -3.4% -12.6% 81% 7% +2.1%
all 393 -3.4% -12.6% 81% 7% +2.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover84.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.6% 7% +2.1%
10% ← realistic here -21.0% 6% -7.7%
15% -28.6% 5% -16.6%
20% -35.6% 4% -24.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 82% · top 2 87% profit hinges on 1 bet — luck, not edge
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +13% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
91% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt +13% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.1 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$5 · ×1.15 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×4.97 per $1 lost it wins $4.97
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

15d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,413
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses319 / 74
Est. fees paid−$23
Open positions0
Markets (closed)393 / 393
History coverage15d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day84.7
Drawdown17%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 393 Trades
no open positions (35 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 17 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 17 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $79 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 17 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 17 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 17 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $80 +$1 +1%
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score Jun 16 $1,445 +$1,403 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 16 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 16 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 16 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 16 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 16 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $79 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 16 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 16 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 16 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $79 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 16 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 16 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 16 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 16 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 16 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 16 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 16 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $79 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 15 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 15 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 15 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 15 $79 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 15 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $80 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $80 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $80 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $79 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $80 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $80 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $80 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $80 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $80 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $80 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $17 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $63 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $80 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $80 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $61 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $19 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $80 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $46 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $34 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $80 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $80 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $80 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $26 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $43 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 24h
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 50¢ $743 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $80 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $80 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $79 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $80 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1439 history records