Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:25:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1A
0x1a7c…d422
other · 316 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$169 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$108 · open +$37
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$940
Realized+$108
Unrealized+$37
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses251 / 62
Whale WR (big bets)73%
Est. fees paid−$24
Open positions3
Markets (closed)313 / 316
History coverage73d
Avg bet$140
Trades / day20.9
Drawdown95%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 3 History 313 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$103
7 days+$7
14 days+$85
30 days−$142
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 97¢ 100¢ $561 $576 +$14 (+3%)
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft? Yes 78¢ 86¢ $222 $244 +$22 (+10%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 81¢ 81¢ $120 $121 +$1 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $22 +$7 +31%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $183 +$20 +11%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $257 −$130 -51%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $102 +$88 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 10 $100 −$8 -8%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 11? Jun 10 $44 +$3 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 10? Jun 10 $90 +$4 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $161 +$12 +7%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $37 +$12 +33%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $61 −$1 -1%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $128 +$12 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 05 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -93%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $21 −$20 -95%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 04 $33 +$6 +18%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 04 $48 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 04 $61 −$7 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 04 $10 +$2 +15%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 4? Jun 04 $70 −$10 -14%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $36 +$20 +56%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 03 $621 −$10 -2%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 03 $151 −$1 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 3? Jun 03 $44 −$19 -43%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 3? Jun 03 $43 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 03 $30 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $82 +$63 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 02 $10 $0 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $603 −$2 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 01 $35 +$3 +8%
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026? Jun 01 $145 $0 +0%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $83 +$1 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026? Jun 01 $172 +$24 +14%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 31? May 31 $30 $0 -0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? May 31 $132 +$9 +7%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 31 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on May 30? May 30 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET May 30 $5 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? May 30 $68 +$9 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET May 30 $1 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET May 30 $26 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET May 30 $11 −$11 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 29? May 30 $10 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on May 29? May 29 $58 −$34 -58%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28? May 28 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET May 28 $11 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on May 27? May 27 $20 $0 -0%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 27 $69 −$24 -34%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026? May 27 $24 −$12 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET May 27 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET May 27 $60 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 47% +$555
weather 25% −$24
sports 20% −$267
crypto 7% −$104
politics 1% −$24
world 0% +$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 99¢ $100 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 99¢ $100 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 83¢ $5 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 85¢ $30 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 83¢ $23 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 85¢ $38 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 92¢ $1 2h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 92¢ $45 2h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 80¢ $40 2h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 66¢ $33 2h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 27¢ $10 3h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 32¢ $8 4h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 30¢ $10 4h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 81¢ $81 4h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 18¢ $9 9h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 15¢ $3 10h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 15¢ $8 10h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 15¢ $2 10h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 15¢ $0 10h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 15¢ $0 10h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 10h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 98¢ $39 13h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 98¢ $52 13h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 93¢ $29 13h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 88¢ $36 13h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 85¢ $47 13h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 83¢ $101 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 +19.9% +8.5% 70% 40% -8.9%
≤30d 122 -3.0% -12.3% 73% 15% -10.6%
≤90d 313 -1.1% -10.5% 80% 13% -9.3%
all 313 -1.1% -10.5% 80% 13% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.5% 13% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.1% 7% -18.0%
15% -26.9% 4% -25.9%
20% -34.1% 4% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $940.18 · official $940.18 (match) · 1734 history records