Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:16:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1A
0x1a87…4905
crypto · 319 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$6,118 +83%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,010 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$1,010
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses171 / 336
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)507 / 319
History coverage12d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day264.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 0 History 507 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$909
7 days−$917
14 days−$1,010
30 days−$1,010
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 58¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+72%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will AC Nagano Parceiro win on 2026-06-05? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Will Finland win on 2026-06-05? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$21 +430%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$9
other 4% −$98
sports 1% +$27
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $0 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 45m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-44.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 468 -39.1% -44.9% 34% 26% -20.1%
≤30d 507 -38.4% -44.3% 34% 27% -20.6%
≤90d 507 -38.4% -44.3% 34% 27% -20.6%
all 507 -38.4% -44.3% 34% 27% -20.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover264.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -44.3% 27% -20.6%
10% ← realistic here -49.6% 19% -28.2%
15% -54.5% 14% -35.1%
20% -59.0% 8% -41.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.88 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records