Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:16:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1A
0x1a87…d991
crypto · 1283 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$302 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$301 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$301
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses904 / 378
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1282 / 1283
History coverage48d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day43.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 1282 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days−$26
14 days−$77
30 days−$101
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 59¢ 50¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-16%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +83%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$4 +140%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +52%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +70%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -84%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +65%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -88%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +70%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +65%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$4 +124%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +65%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -94%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$4 +114%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +60%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +60%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +105%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$297
other 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 6m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 7m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 10m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 15m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Down 10¢ $0 16m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 19m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 20m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 22m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 24m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 25m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 8¢ $0 31m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 33m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 34m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 39m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 42m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 44m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 54m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 55m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 59m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-13.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 133 -9.6% -18.2% 53% 45% -16.7%
≤30d 685 -7.4% -16.3% 60% 34% -14.6%
≤90d 1282 -4.5% -13.6% 71% 32% -13.4%
all 1282 -4.5% -13.6% 71% 32% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover43.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.6% 32% -13.4%
10% ← realistic here -21.9% 20% -21.7%
15% -29.4% 11% -29.2%
20% -36.4% 6% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.52 · official $2.87 (match) · 2826 history records