Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:41:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1A
0x1a88…4e57
crypto · 495 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,585 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,584 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$99
Realized−$1,584
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses245 / 249
Est. fees paid−$279
Open positions1
Markets (closed)494 / 495
History coverage30d
Avg bet$76
Trades / day35.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 1 History 494 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,344
7 days+$1,224
14 days−$809
30 days−$1,584
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions Samsung Lions 65¢ 64¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 Under 46¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card) Daniel Santos 61¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Birmingham: James McCabe vs Kamil Majchrzak James McCabe 7¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul Tommy Paul 32¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $126 $0 −$126 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card) Deiveson Figueiredo 18¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions Samsung Lions 54¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Spread: Thunder (-8.5) Spurs 48¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmann Yannick Hanfmann 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17? Yes 65¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-24? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina Coco Gauff 58¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners Chicago White Sox 24¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Dayana Yastremska Dayana Yastremska 27¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) Zhang Mingyang 69¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $206 −$100 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $205 −$200 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $221 +$143 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $105 −$100 -96%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $102 +$116 +114%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $102 −$100 -98%
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $10 +$20 +200%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $102 +$154 +152%
United States leading at halftime? Jun 13 $31 +$60 +197%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $102 +$136 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$16 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 -0%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $101 +$87 +86%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Jun 12 $101 +$17 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $103 +$32 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $213 +$244 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $109 −$105 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$7 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $77 +$40 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $104 +$71 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$100 +317%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz Jun 12 $101 +$79 +78%
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions Jun 12 $132 −$130 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $102 +$168 +165%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $102 +$198 +194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$11 +42%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$1 -56%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $102 +$30 +29%
Korea Republic leading at halftime? Jun 12 $21 −$20 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $152 +$61 +40%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $101 +$63 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 11 $101 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $15 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $208 +$29 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$4 +16%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 11 $101 +$47 +46%
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. KT Wiz Jun 11 $303 +$158 +52%
Will PPI YoY be between 6.0% and 6.9% in May? Jun 11 $30 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 11 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $44 +$17 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$3 +13%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $31 −$30 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $313 +$274 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $309 −$200 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 48% −$840
crypto 43% −$552
other 4% +$364
politics 3% −$131
world 1% −$442
tech 0% +$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions BUY Samsung Lions 65¢ $101 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $111 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $145 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $197 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $105 1h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants SELL Chicago Cubs 100¢ $217 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 20¢ $102 2h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 46¢ $102 3h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $256 4h
United States leading at halftime? SELL Yes 100¢ $91 4h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Chicago White Sox 100¢ $238 4h
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 BUY Over 33¢ $10 4h
United States leading at halftime? BUY Yes 33¢ $31 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $17 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $25 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 7h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 42¢ $102 7h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 39¢ $102 7h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 53¢ $101 10h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? SELL Yes 100¢ $117 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $105 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $100 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-15.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 153 +2.7% -7.1% 59% 48% -0.6%
≤30d 494 -6.8% -15.7% 50% 44% -12.3%
≤90d 494 -6.8% -15.7% 50% 44% -12.3%
all 494 -6.8% -15.7% 50% 44% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.7% 44% -12.3%
10% ← realistic here -23.7% 39% -20.7%
15% -31.1% 33% -28.4%
20% -37.8% 27% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $99.23 · official $99.23 (match) · 1128 history records