Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:49:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1A
0x1a89…9dd0
crypto · 1175 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$359 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$359 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$27
Realized−$359
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses504 / 671
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1175 / 1175
History coverage10d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day264.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1175 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$158
7 days−$257
14 days−$359
30 days−$359
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 33¢ 100¢ $4 $13 +$9 (+203%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 65¢ 100¢ $9 $13 +$5 (+54%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$9 +194%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$7 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$3 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -39%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -63%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$5 +194%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$5 +53%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$6 -30%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$15 -63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$6 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$1 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$6 -35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$4 -45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$16 +82%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$2 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$4 +136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$9 -75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$7 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +91%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$7 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$5 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$359
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $8 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $9 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET SELL Down 25¢ $3 9m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $11 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Down 12¢ $2 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $9 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $4 12m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $8 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $7 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $5 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $7 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $7 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $9 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $2 17m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $9 17m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $8 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $4 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $4 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $2 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $4 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $9 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $7 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $6 24m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $6 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $4 26m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-16.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 733 -7.1% -16.0% 43% 39% -14.2%
≤30d 1175 -7.5% -16.4% 43% 38% -14.5%
≤90d 1175 -7.5% -16.4% 43% 38% -14.5%
all 1175 -7.5% -16.4% 43% 38% -14.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover264.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.4% 38% -14.5%
10% ← realistic here -24.4% 34% -22.7%
15% -31.7% 30% -30.2%
20% -38.4% 26% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $26.59 · official $26.59 (match) · 3500 history records