Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T04:40:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
1A 0x1a94…dc48 crypto 1362 markets active 2h ago coverage 23d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 22d only
✗ bot/MM pace (91 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$110 (-7%) realized −$110 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate52%709W / 653L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day91.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days−$4
14 days−$55
30 days−$132
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$132
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (91 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 318 -1.1% -10.5% 55% 55% -10.6%
≤30d 1362 -5.9% -14.9% 52% 52% -16.7%
≤90d 1362 -5.9% -14.9% 52% 52% -16.7%
all 1362 -5.9% -14.9% 52% 52% -16.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover91.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.9% 52% -16.7%
10% ← realistic here -23.0% 52% -24.7%
15% -30.5% 52% -31.9%
20% -37.3% 51% -38.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.77 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

23d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$110
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses709 / 653
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1362 / 1362
History coverage23d ⚠
Avg bet$1
Trades / day91.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1362 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$2 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Up 78¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records