Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:27:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1A
0x1a96…9797
other · 1327 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$121 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$163 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$44
Realized−$163
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)1%
Wins / losses19 / 1379
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions13
Markets (closed)1398 / 1327
History coverage8d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day467.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 13 History 1398 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$130
7 days−$163
14 days−$163
30 days−$163
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25? No 100¢ 100¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+0%)
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Kawkab AC 2 - 3 Raja Club Athletic? No 99¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 5? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5 Under 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will Donald Trump announce Matt Gaetz as the next United States Attorney General by December 31? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will Vitality qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? Yes 98¢ 97¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Is Earth flat? No 97¢ 97¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Spread: Iraq (-1.5) France 100¢ 99¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30? No 99¢ 97¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Cyle Larin: 3+ goals No 99¢ 98¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco? No 98¢ 97¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $160 end of June? No 100¢ 98¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Exact Score: Hungary 0 - 1 Kazakhstan? No 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will Canva have the second highest private market valuation on June 30? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Exact Score: CR Vasco da Gama 2 - 2 CA Mineiro? No 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 2? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: AA Ponte Preta 3 - 1 Cuiabá EC? No 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of June 8 2026? No 100¢ 99¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between $1,249,000 and $1,259,000 on May 31? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 31? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Chicago Stars FC 3 - 3 San Diego Wave FC? No 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25? Jun 12 $4 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? Jun 12 $3 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -23%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Will Donald Trump announce Matt Gaetz as the next United States Attorn Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -85%
Exact Score: CR Vasco da Gama 2 - 2 CA Mineiro? Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 2? Jun 12 $1 $0 -1%
Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between Jun 12 $1 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on Ma Jun 12 $1 $0 -1%
Exact Score: Chicago Stars FC 3 - 3 San Diego Wave FC? Jun 12 $1 $0 -16%
Will Mistral have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Contro Jun 12 $1 $0 -0%
Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31? Jun 12 $0 $0 -7%
Exact Score: Wales 2 - 2 Ghana? Jun 12 $0 $0 -25%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -1%
Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 0 - 1 Associação Chapecoense de Futebol? Jun 12 $0 $0 +0%
Exact Score: CD Leganés 1 - 2 CD Mirandés? Jun 12 $0 $0 -12%
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 31? Jun 12 $0 $0 -3%
Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31? Jun 12 $0 $0 -7%
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by May 31? Jun 12 $0 $0 -2%
Exact Score: Real Zaragoza 2 - 2 Málaga CF? Jun 12 $0 $0 -9%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on Ma Jun 12 $0 $0 -1%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? Jun 12 $0 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 1? Jun 12 $0 $0 +0%
Will Singapore vs. Mongolia end in a draw? Jun 12 $0 $0 -0%
Exact Score: Córdoba CF 2 - 2 SD Huesca? Jun 12 $0 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on May 31? Jun 12 $0 $0 -0%
Will Ant Middleton summit Everest in between 2 and 3 days? Jun 12 $0 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 2? Jun 12 $0 $0 -1%
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31? Jun 12 $0 $0 -2%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -177%
Exact Score: Burgos CF 0 - 2 FC Andorra? Jun 12 $0 $0 -13%
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 -1%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on May 31? Jun 12 $0 $0 -3%
Exact Score: Chicago Stars FC 0 - 1 San Diego Wave FC? Jun 12 $0 $0 -15%
Will GPT-5.6 be released between May 25 and May 31, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -3%
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Samsunspor: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $0 $0 -24%
Spread: Czechia (-2.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 -1%
Grok 4.4 released by May 31? Jun 12 $0 $0 -12%
Exact Score: Real Zaragoza 1 - 3 Málaga CF? Jun 12 $0 $0 +4%
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in May 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -15%
Exact Score: Wuhan San Zhen FC 3 - 1 Yunnan Yukun FC? Jun 12 $0 $0 -19%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs BALU - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $0 $0 -76%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on May 31? Jun 12 $0 $0 -14%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Jun 12 $0 −$2 -862%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 2? Jun 12 $0 $0 -9%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 2? Jun 12 $0 $0 -14%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on June 1? Jun 12 $0 $0 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 34% −$24
politics 27% −$23
sports 12% −$11
weather 10% −$3
tech 6% −$4
world 6% −$2
economics 2% −$1
culture 2% −$2
finance 1% $0
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $450 end of June? SELL No 99¢ $1 1h
Will Canva have the second highest private market valuation on June 30 SELL No 100¢ $1 1h
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $160 end of June? SELL No 5¢ $0 1h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 Week of June 8 2026? SELL No 100¢ $1 1h
Will Vitality qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? SELL Yes 97¢ $0 1h
Is Earth flat? SELL No 97¢ $1 1h
Will Vitality qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? SELL Yes 97¢ $1 1h
Cyle Larin: 3+ goals SELL No 98¢ $1 1h
Spread: Iraq (-1.5) SELL France 98¢ $1 1h
Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30? SELL No 97¢ $2 1h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 Week of June 8 2026? SELL No 100¢ $1 1h
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $450 end of June? SELL No 99¢ $2 1h
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of June 8 2026? SELL No 97¢ $2 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco? SELL No 96¢ $2 1h
Will Vitality qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? SELL Yes 97¢ $1 1h
Cyle Larin: 3+ goals BUY No 99¢ $2 1h
Is Earth flat? BUY No 97¢ $2 1h
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 100¢ $2 1h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 100¢ $2 1h
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $160 end of June? BUY No 100¢ $1 1h
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $450 end of June? BUY No 100¢ $3 1h
Will Canva have the second highest private market valuation on June 30 BUY No 100¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco? BUY No 98¢ $2 1h
Spread: Iraq (-1.5) BUY France 100¢ $2 1h
Will Vitality qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? BUY Yes 98¢ $3 1h
Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30? BUY No 99¢ $2 1h
Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control O SELL No 99¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 104°F or higher on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $2 1h
Spread: Cabo Verde (-2.5) SELL Uruguay 98¢ $0 1h
Exact Score: Grêmio Novorizontino 2 - 2 Clube Náutico Capibaribe? SELL No 89¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1397 -3.3% -12.5% 1% 0% -14.2%
≤30d 1398 -3.3% -12.5% 1% 0% -14.2%
≤90d 1398 -3.3% -12.5% 1% 0% -14.2%
all 1398 -3.3% -12.5% 1% 0% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover467.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.5% 0% -14.2%
10% ← realistic here -20.8% 0% -22.4%
15% -28.5% 0% -29.9%
20% -35.5% 0% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $44.25 · official $15.77 · 3500 history records