Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T16:03:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
1A 0x1a9a…1609 crypto 1219 markets active 1h ago coverage 23d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 22d only
✗ bot/MM pace (85 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$846 (-11%) realized −$846 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR18%break-even
Win rate91%1107W / 112L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day85.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$17
14 days−$1
30 days−$297
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$259
other 1% −$38
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (85 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 569 +0.2% -9.3% 92% 18% -9.1%
≤30d 1219 -0.5% -9.9% 91% 18% -13.1%
≤90d 1219 -0.5% -9.9% 91% 18% -13.1%
all 1219 -0.5% -9.9% 91% 18% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover85.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 18% -13.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 6% -21.4%
15% -26.4% 3% -29.0%
20% -33.6% 1% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
76% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -2% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$7 · ×0.06 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.62 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

23d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$846
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses1107 / 112
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1219 / 1219
History coverage23d ⚠
Avg bet$6
Trades / day85.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1219 Trades
no open positions (9 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 18 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 18 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 18 $30 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 18 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 18 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 18 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 18 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 18 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 18 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 18 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 18 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 18 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 18 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 18 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records