trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +41.6% | +28.1% | 100% | 100% | +28.1% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +41.6% | +28.1% | 100% | 100% | +28.1% |
| ≤90d | 2 | +63.4% | +47.8% | 100% | 100% | +51.7% |
| all | 20 | +4.2% | -5.7% | 60% | 60% | -15.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.7% | 60% | -15.2% |
| 10% | -14.7% | 55% | -23.3% |
| 15% | -23.0% | 50% | -30.7% |
| 20% | -30.5% | 30% | -37.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffs | Paper Rex | 64¢ | 64¢ | $32 | $32 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 96¢ | 98¢ | $13 | $13 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | Jun 21 | $35 | +$15 | +42% |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playo | May 19 | $52 | +$45 | +85% |
| 76ers vs. Mavericks | Feb 11 | $24 | +$20 | +82% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | Feb 11 | $23 | −$23 | -100% |
| Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | Dec 08 | $765 | −$765 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Pacers | Dec 08 | $2,964 | −$2,964 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Cavaliers | Nov 18 | $3,479 | +$1,421 | +41% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Nov 17 | $36 | +$8 | +22% |
| Oilers vs. Senators | Oct 22 | $4,536 | +$3,564 | +79% |
| Chiefs vs. Jaguars | Oct 06 | $2,233 | −$2,233 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? | Oct 06 | $12 | +$2 | +14% |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 15? | Oct 06 | $40 | +$25 | +64% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Aug 19 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Lakers | Aug 03 | $17 | +$33 | +194% |
| OpenSea airdrop before April? | Apr 30 | $39 | +$19 | +47% |
| US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? | Mar 05 | $37 | −$37 | -100% |
| Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14? | Mar 05 | $20 | +$34 | +170% |
| Hawks vs. Bulls | Feb 14 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Packers vs. Eagles | Jan 16 | $46 | +$21 | +45% |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | Jan 09 | $48 | −$48 | -100% |