Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:13:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1A
0x1a9c…535e
sports · 226 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$836 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$894 · open +$105
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$617
Realized−$894
Unrealized+$105
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses74 / 148
Est. fees paid−$140
Open positions4
Markets (closed)222 / 226
History coverage41d
Avg bet$55
Trades / day33.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit59%
Chart Positions 4 History 222 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$433
7 days+$260
14 days+$260
30 days+$116
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 78¢ 100¢ $478 $615 +$138 (+29%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-98%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winner Zero Tenacity 37¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-23? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-23? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Austin FC win on 2026-05-23? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will St. Louis City SC vs. Austin FC end in a draw? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-05-23? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Will Deportivo La Guaira FC win on 2026-05-21? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-21? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Esprit Shōnen (BO3) - LFL Playoffs Esprit Shōnen 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs Team Orange Gaming - Game 2 Winner ROSSMANN Centaurs 10¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-23? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B Team Nemesis 16¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $301 +$254 +84%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $7 +$83 +1266%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $404 +$158 +39%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $98 −$97 -100%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $61 −$60 -99%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 −$9 -98%
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-24? May 25 $4 +$6 +122%
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-24? May 25 $23 +$17 +74%
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-24? May 25 $203 +$159 +78%
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-05-24? May 25 $15 +$5 +30%
Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw? May 25 $20 −$20 -99%
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-05-24? May 25 $94 −$93 -99%
Will Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union end in a draw? May 25 $143 −$141 -99%
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-24? May 25 $7 −$7 -100%
Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw? May 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-24? May 25 $14 +$6 +43%
Will Columbus Crew vs. Atlanta United FC end in a draw? May 24 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $4 −$4 -99%
Will Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw? May 24 $54 +$16 +29%
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw? May 24 $52 +$40 +77%
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $76 +$30 +39%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $6 −$6 -98%
Will Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? May 24 $6 −$6 -98%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $140 +$168 +119%
Will Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw? May 24 $16 +$37 +228%
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol end in a draw? May 24 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $45 +$26 +57%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $2 +$2 +127%
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $14 +$28 +205%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $118 +$30 +26%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $14 +$6 +39%
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? May 24 $27 −$27 -99%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $32 −$32 -99%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw? May 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? May 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Will West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw? May 24 $18 −$18 -100%
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $48 −$48 -100%
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $7 −$7 -99%
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? May 24 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 68% −$1,211
other 32% +$422
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 12m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $33 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $33 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 80¢ $32 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 80¢ $32 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 80¢ $32 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 79¢ $32 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 80¢ $32 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 78¢ $27 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 77¢ $26 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 79¢ $27 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 79¢ $32 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 79¢ $32 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 79¢ $32 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-31.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 +68.9% +52.8% 30% 30% +15.3%
≤30d 137 -22.0% -29.4% 32% 32% -7.3%
≤90d 222 -24.4% -31.6% 33% 28% -16.3%
all 222 -24.4% -31.6% 33% 28% -16.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -31.6% 28% -16.3%
10% ← realistic here -38.1% 26% -24.3%
15% -44.1% 23% -31.6%
20% -49.6% 18% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $616.72 · official $616.72 (match) · 1485 history records