trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 33% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +0.4% | -9.1% | 50% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +0.4% | -9.1% | 50% | 0% | -9.2% |
| all | 30 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 53% | 3% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.6% | 3% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -17.4% | 3% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -25.3% | 3% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -32.7% | 3% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 18 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 18 | $119 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 03 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 01 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 01 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | May 31 | $38 | −$1 | -2% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 30 | $37 | +$1 | +4% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 29 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 29 | $40 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 27 | $36 | +$1 | +2% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 27 | $40 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 26 | $39 | $0 | -0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 26 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ben Shelton win Wimbledon 2025? | Jul 01 | $0 | $0 | +57% |
| Will Walmart buy TikTok? | Jun 26 | $8 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 04 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Solana reach $300 in May? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Anamaria Gavrilă win the Romanian presidential election? | May 20 | $1 | −$1 | -54% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Apr 28 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76000 and $78000 on Apr 18? | Apr 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Another team win the UEFA Europa League? | Apr 18 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will XRP reach $3.50 in April? | Apr 18 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025? | Apr 17 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025? | Apr 15 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 48.0% and 48.4% on March 28? | Mar 30 | $14 | $0 | +3% |
| Will 'Snow White' gross between 44-49m on opening weekend? | Mar 25 | $14 | $0 | +2% |
| Will George Russell win the 2025 China Grand Prix? | Mar 24 | $11 | +$1 | +7% |
| Will Hamas enter Israel by Friday? | Mar 22 | $11 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Tennessee win the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | Mar 19 | $1 | $0 | -12% |