Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:43:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1A
0x1ab7…9451
sports · 512 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$32 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$71 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$34
Realized−$71
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses294 / 212
Est. fees paid−$28
Open positions6
Markets (closed)506 / 512
History coverage72d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day21.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 6 History 506 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$20
7 days+$16
14 days−$4
30 days+$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 23¢ 32¢ $21 $28 +$8 (+36%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 28¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks Alycia Parks 24¢ 24¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
ITF Kayseri: Ilay Yoruk vs Lan Mi Lan Mi 76¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Apex Mission Impossible - Game 1 Winner Dorado Gaming 65¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: Dplus vs ARETE (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season Dplus 22¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Jessica Pieri Jessica Pieri 25¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-05-02? Yes 29¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Stefanos Sakellaridis Stefanos Sakellaridis 29¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ostrava: Jonas Forejtek vs Hynek Barton Hynek Barton 65¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alex Michelsen Jan-Lennard Struff 31¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? Yes $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Mexico City: Luka Pavlovic vs Rodrigo Pacheco Rodrigo Pacheco 85¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Jiujiang: Keegan Smith vs Alex Bolt Keegan Smith 12¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02? Yes 77¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Abidjan 2: Karim Bennani vs Karan Singh Karan Singh 56¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Hugo Gaston Hugo Gaston 12¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Emilio Nava vs Valentin Vacherot Valentin Vacherot 33¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Mirra Andreeva Mirra Andreeva $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will CA River Plate vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw? Yes 21¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Hubert Hurkacz Hubert Hurkacz 25¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bratislava: Tiago Pereira vs Andrej Martin Tiago Pereira 39¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 +$22 +1059%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -99%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +107%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $5 +$7 +129%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $6 −$6 -99%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 -14%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 10 $7 −$2 -29%
Libema Open (Doubles): Auger-Aliassime/Shapovalov vs Nouza/Oberleitner Jun 10 $2 +$1 +52%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jun 10 $4 +$3 +64%
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 10 $6 −$1 -16%
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Jun 10 $2 +$1 +37%
Tucuman: Karim Bennani vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Jessica Pieri Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 09 $1 +$2 +236%
Bratislava: Tiago Pereira vs Andrej Martin Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 08 $6 +$3 +50%
Libema Open (Doubles): Kichenok/Ninomiya vs Piter/Siskova Jun 08 $1 +$1 +67%
Lyon: Laslo Djere vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 08 $3 −$1 -33%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 06 $2 −$2 -98%
Perugia: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrea Pellegrino Jun 06 $1 $0 +34%
Centurion 2: Harold Mayot vs Philip Henning Jun 06 $1 +$1 +90%
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Stefanos Sakellaridi Jun 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Foggia: Giorgia Pedone vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 05 $3 −$3 -98%
Heilbronn: Luka Mikrut vs Marvin Moeller Jun 05 $1 −$1 -97%
Makarska: Petra Marcinko vs Barbora Palicova Jun 04 $2 −$1 -49%
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs Team Eclipse (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Sta Jun 04 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffs Jun 04 $1 −$1 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 03 $11 −$11 -98%
Makarska: Lola Radivojevic vs Mia Ristic Jun 03 $5 +$5 +96%
Valorant: Dplus vs ARETE (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season Jun 03 $3 −$3 -98%
Makarska: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Laura Samson Jun 03 $4 −$4 -100%
ITF Wuning: Hong Yi Cody Wong vs Xinxin Yao Jun 03 $4 +$7 +172%
Valorant: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regula Jun 03 $1 −$1 -98%
ITF Wuning: Chenting Zhu vs Reina Goto Jun 03 $7 $0 +4%
Valorant: Division One vs YFP Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage Jun 02 $3 −$3 -98%
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage Jun 02 $8 +$9 +108%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 02 $7 +$4 +62%
Tyler: Timo Legout vs Andres Andrade Jun 02 $1 $0 +3%
Centurion 2: Tuncay Duran vs Stefano Napolitano Jun 02 $1 +$3 +339%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Poor Rangers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Eu Jun 02 $1 −$1 -98%
Prostejov: Maxim Mrva vs Dalibor Svrcina Jun 02 $6 −$6 -98%
Perugia: Liam Broady vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 02 $1 $0 +6%
Birmingham: James Watt vs Harry Wendelken Jun 02 $1 −$1 -98%
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Harriet Dart Jun 02 $5 +$6 +112%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? Jun 02 $12 −$12 -100%
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: Jun 02 $3 $0 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 83% −$19
other 9% −$13
world 7% −$35
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF Kayseri: Ilay Yoruk vs Lan Mi BUY Lan Mi 76¢ $3 2h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $1 2h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes $1 2h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa BUY Alycia Parks 24¢ $1 2h
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY Yes 33¢ $1 2h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes $1 13h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $2 18h
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $2 18h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $3 27h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes $1 27h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 27h
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 27h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 36h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 60¢ $2 37h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 25¢ $1 37h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 51¢ $1 38h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 39h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 100¢ $12 39h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 42¢ $1 41h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 41h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 43¢ $4 41h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 2d
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL Yes 28¢ $0 2d
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan BUY Marco Trungelliti 50¢ $1 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 35¢ $0 2d
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 10¢ $1 2d
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan BUY Marco Trungelliti 70¢ $1 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 35¢ $0 2d
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan BUY Marco Trungelliti 77¢ $1 2d
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan BUY Marco Trungelliti 66¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 +36.6% +23.6% 45% 45% +18.0%
≤30d 104 +12.7% +2.0% 50% 43% -7.5%
≤90d 506 -4.6% -13.7% 58% 43% -12.8%
all 506 -4.6% -13.7% 58% 43% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.7% 43% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here -21.9% 31% -21.2%
15% -29.5% 21% -28.8%
20% -36.4% 15% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $34.21 · official $34.21 (match) · 1646 history records