Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:32:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1A
0x1abc…45e7
weather · 474 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$67,068 +809%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$69,568 · open −$7,164
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$18,023
Realized+$69,568
Unrealized−$7,164
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses303 / 6
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions498
Markets (closed)309 / 474
Avg bet$17
Trades / day1534.4
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 498 History 309 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$69,568
7 days+$69,568
14 days+$69,568
30 days+$69,568
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 12? Yes 93¢ 100¢ $675 $725 +$51 (+7%)
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026? Yes 45¢ 88¢ $257 $507 +$250 (+98%)
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026? No 85¢ 99¢ $263 $306 +$43 (+16%)
Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 0¢ 96¢ $0 $302 +$302 (+0%)
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 88¢ 87¢ $275 $273 −$3 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? No 98¢ 99¢ $271 $271 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 12? Yes 40¢ 100¢ $107 $266 +$160 (+150%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12? No 0¢ 96¢ $0 $265 +$265 (+0%)
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 0¢ 84¢ $0 $265 +$265 (+0%)
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%? Yes 0¢ 43¢ $0 $258 +$258 (+0%)
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 12? Yes 98¢ 98¢ $255 $255 +$0 (+0%)
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? No 0¢ 59¢ $0 $253 +$253 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 12? Yes 86¢ 96¢ $214 $238 +$24 (+11%)
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%? Yes 43¢ 35¢ $265 $216 −$49 (-19%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? No 86¢ 86¢ $204 $207 +$2 (+1%)
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome? No 94¢ 90¢ $192 $184 −$8 (-4%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 12? No 56¢ 64¢ $152 $173 +$22 (+14%)
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? No 26¢ 99¢ $45 $172 +$127 (+280%)
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? No 0¢ 97¢ $0 $169 +$169 (+0%)
Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome? No 87¢ 80¢ $178 $164 −$13 (-7%)
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? No 99¢ 99¢ $161 $162 +$1 (+0%)
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026? No 79¢ 86¢ $145 $158 +$13 (+9%)
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? No 0¢ 90¢ $0 $158 +$158 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $151 $151 +$0 (+0%)
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome? No 68¢ 64¢ $154 $145 −$9 (-6%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 25? Jun 12 $3 +$27 +861%
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-31? Jun 12 $0 +$14 —%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $0 +$34 +10696%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $6 +$28 +456%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 +$132 +5831%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $9 +$294 +3167%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$153 +2922%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $37 +$121 +330%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 12? Jun 12 $37 +$125 +336%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $4 +$82 +2191%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 13? Jun 12 $15 $0 -1%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 12? Jun 12 $36 +$79 +218%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on Jun Jun 12 $5 +$59 +1146%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on Jun Jun 12 $11 +$54 +498%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on Jun Jun 12 $2 +$62 +2915%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $30 +$552 +1853%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on June 12? Jun 12 $48 +$61 +128%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $27 +$678 +2514%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 12? Jun 12 $25 +$174 +710%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $27 +$353 +1317%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $78 +$1,191 +1520%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $21 +$12 +56%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$70 +1502%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 +$22 +1435%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $27 +$608 +2280%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$36 +750%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $16 +$510 +3170%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on June 11? Jun 12 $19 −$11 -60%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 11? Jun 12 $9 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 +$143 +5832%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 13? Jun 12 $2 +$13 +724%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 12? Jun 12 $26 −$5 -20%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $43 +$63 +147%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $25 +$201 +793%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $32 +$147 +462%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 12? Jun 12 $7 +$36 +509%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $40 +$174 +432%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $68 +$540 +800%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$20 +403%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $20 +$203 +1011%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 94-95°F on Ju Jun 12 $114 +$248 +217%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 92-93°F on Ju Jun 12 $30 +$349 +1179%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 11? Jun 12 $91 +$644 +709%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $6 +$267 +4779%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 13? Jun 12 $2 +$13 +571%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 13? Jun 12 $0 +$15 +31106%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 13? Jun 12 $5 +$10 +179%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 12? Jun 12 $11 +$37 +326%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $8 +$47 +624%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 12 Jun 12 $149 +$520 +348%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 71% −$7,910
weather 29% +$70,272
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $30 0m
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 0m
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $33 3m
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $21 3m
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 12? BUY No 58¢ $4 4m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 86°F or higher on June 13? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 10m
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12? BUY No 69¢ $6 12m
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 12? BUY No 95¢ $5 14m
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $55 17m
Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C or below on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $10 18m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $7 19m
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 12? SELL Yes 100¢ $52 22m
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 12? BUY No 69¢ $4 23m
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 12? BUY Yes 97¢ $7 28m
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 12? BUY No 51¢ $5 28m
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 12? BUY No 28¢ $3 29m
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 13? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 30m
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $12 35m
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 12? BUY No 29¢ $2 38m
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $8 38m
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 12? BUY Yes 4¢ $0 41m
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $19 42m
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 12? BUY Yes 65¢ $17 43m
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 12? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 44m
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 14? BUY No 76¢ $4 45m
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 14? BUY No 65¢ $8 47m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on Ju BUY Yes 17¢ $4 47m
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 52m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on Ju BUY Yes 16¢ $1 55m
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 12? BUY No 89¢ $18 58m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +98%
net ROI/market (all)+1059.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 309 +1181.2% +1059.2% 98% 98% +721.4%
≤30d 309 +1181.2% +1059.2% 98% 98% +721.4%
≤90d 309 +1181.2% +1059.2% 98% 98% +721.4%
all 309 +1181.2% +1059.2% 98% 98% +721.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1534.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1059.2% 98% +721.4%
10% ← realistic here +948.3% 97% +642.8%
15% +847.0% 97% +571.0%
20% +754.2% 97% +505.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18,022.67 · official $21,040.82 · 3500 history records