Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T16:55:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
1A 0x1ac3…96c3 crypto 74 markets active 1h ago coverage 4d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$247 (+6%) realized +$247 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR3%break-even
Win rate100%74W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$58per market
Trades / day20.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$245
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-4.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 74 +5.8% -4.3% 100% 3% -4.3%
≤30d 74 +5.8% -4.3% 100% 3% -4.3%
≤90d 74 +5.8% -4.3% 100% 3% -4.3%
all 74 +5.8% -4.3% 100% 3% -4.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover20.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.3% 3% -4.3%
10% ← realistic here -13.5% 0% -13.5%
15% -21.8% 0% -21.8%
20% -29.5% 0% -29.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +6% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
93% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +6% · $-wt +6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +5% → late +7% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$247
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses74 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)74 / 74
History coverage4d
Avg bet$58
Trades / day20.3
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 74 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 23 $28 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 23 $33 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 23 $45 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 23 $42 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 23 $42 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 23 $84 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 23 $105 +$9 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 23 $132 +$9 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 23 $27 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 23 $21 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 23 $32 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 23 $139 +$13 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 23 $137 +$14 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 23 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 23 $111 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 23 $100 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 23 $118 +$6 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 23 $130 +$14 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 23 $115 +$11 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 23 $94 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 23 $22 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 22 $28 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 22 $122 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 22 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 22 $16 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 22 $73 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 22 $11 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 22 $43 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 22 $88 +$8 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 22 $68 +$6 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 22 $29 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 22 $29 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 22 $32 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 22 $13 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 22 $6 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 22 $56 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 22 $22 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 22 $19 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 22 $32 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 22 $42 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 22 $48 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 22 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 22 $83 +$8 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 21 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 21 $21 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 21 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 21 $54 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 21 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 21 $92 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 21 $113 +$3 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $28 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $33 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $45 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $84 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $105 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $132 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $27 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $21 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $32 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $139 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $137 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $6 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $7 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $32 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $16 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $55 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $100 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $69 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $48 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $68 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $61 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $115 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $94 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $12 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $28 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $122 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 165 history records