Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:09:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1A
0x1ae3…3640
crypto · 21 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses7 / 14
Open positions0
Markets (closed)21 / 21
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day58.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 0 History 21 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -23%
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$6
other 6% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Down 38¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Down 28¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Down 28¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-27.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 -19.4% -27.1% 33% 29% -25.1%
≤30d 21 -19.4% -27.1% 33% 29% -25.1%
≤90d 21 -19.4% -27.1% 33% 29% -25.1%
all 21 -19.4% -27.1% 33% 29% -25.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover58.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.1% 29% -25.1%
10% ← realistic here -34.1% 24% -32.3%
15% -40.4% 19% -38.9%
20% -46.3% 14% -44.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 67 history records