Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:44:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1A
0x1af9…bebe
crypto · 5 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
−$9 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses4 / 1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)5 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day7.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$9
14 days−$9
30 days−$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $23 −$22 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$6 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $23 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $9 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +80%
net ROI/market (all)-7.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +2.2% -7.5% 80% 80% -21.2%
≤30d 5 +2.2% -7.5% 80% 80% -21.2%
≤90d 5 +2.2% -7.5% 80% 80% -21.2%
all 5 +2.2% -7.5% 80% 80% -21.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.5% 80% -21.2%
10% -16.4% 60% -28.8%
15% -24.5% 20% -35.6%
20% -31.9% 0% -42.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 10 history records