trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 3 | -4.6% | -13.7% | 67% | 0% | -13.7% |
| ≤90d | 3 | -4.6% | -13.7% | 67% | 0% | -13.7% |
| all | 9 | -1.8% | -11.1% | 33% | 0% | -10.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.1% | 0% | -10.7% |
| 10% | -19.6% | 0% | -19.2% |
| 15% | -27.4% | 0% | -27.0% |
| 20% | -34.5% | 0% | -34.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $32 | $32 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | May 30 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? | May 28 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Matej Tonin be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | May 21 | $32 | −$5 | -14% |
| Will Dialogue for Hungary (Párbeszéd) win the most seats in the next H | Mar 19 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Will LMP – Hungary’s Green Party (LMP) win the most seats in the next | Mar 15 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Christian Democratic People’s Party (KDNP) win the most seats | Mar 11 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Will AICO win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election? | Mar 08 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Feb 12 | $69 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026? | Feb 12 | $34 | −$1 | -4% |