Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:15:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1B
0x1b10…5c2d
other · 10 markets active 1d ago
0.0score
+$2 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$40 · open +$42
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$92
Realized−$40
Unrealized+$42
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 5
Open positions5
Markets (closed)5 / 10
History coverage1d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day11.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit10%
Chart Positions 5 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$40
7 days−$40
14 days−$40
30 days−$40
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 19¢ 100¢ $10 $53 +$43 (+426%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 49¢ 48¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 52¢ 50¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-5%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 $0 -4%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 90% +$2
crypto 10% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $10 24h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $10 24h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 62¢ $10 24h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $10 30h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 52¢ $10 39h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 49¢ $10 39h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 19¢ $10 39h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $10 39h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $10 39h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $10 39h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $10 39h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-82.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -80.8% -82.6% 0% 0% -82.4%
≤30d 5 -80.8% -82.6% 0% 0% -82.4%
≤90d 5 -80.8% -82.6% 0% 0% -82.4%
all 5 -80.8% -82.6% 0% 0% -82.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -82.6% 0% -82.4%
10% -84.3% 0% -84.1%
15% -85.8% 0% -85.7%
20% -87.2% 0% -87.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $91.83 · official $91.83 (match) · 12 history records