Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:30:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1B
0x1b12…7a89
crypto · 300 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$9,224 +33%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8,497 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$8,497
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses121 / 179
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)300 / 300
History coverage137d
Avg bet$92
Trades / day13.2
Drawdown10%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 300 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$43
7 days−$108
14 days+$423
30 days+$1,217
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin above 79,800 on May 4, 4PM ET? No 23¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10? Down 20¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20? Down 13¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 25? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Will XRP dip to $1.30 on May 22? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 29? No 7¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on June 6? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27? Up 17¢ 0¢ $87 $0 −$87 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 6? No 13¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 78,400 on May 13, 1PM ET? No 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Solana reach $95 on May 8? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7? No 25¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Will Solana reach $95 on May 14? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on May 23? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Will Solana reach $95 on May 9? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 14? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? Up 5¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 12? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5 Under 14¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $111 +$95 +85%
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $80 +$21 +26%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $14 −$14 -98%
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Jun 14 $22 −$6 -26%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $28 −$27 -94%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $14 −$11 -78%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $16 −$15 -97%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $108 +$6 +5%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $325 +$117 +36%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $71 −$71 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $60 −$53 -88%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $70 −$63 -90%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $57 −$22 -38%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $60 −$5 -8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 8-14? Jun 09 $162 +$70 +43%
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 8-14? Jun 09 $158 −$8 -5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $28 +$11 +39%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 13? Jun 08 $43 −$28 -66%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11? Jun 08 $75 −$48 -64%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 11? Jun 08 $52 −$38 -74%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 9? Jun 08 $86 +$16 +19%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 7? Jun 08 $40 −$36 -91%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $71 +$1 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on June 6? Jun 07 $63 −$37 -60%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $6 −$2 -26%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 7? Jun 06 $80 +$39 +49%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7? Jun 06 $28 +$53 +187%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 7? Jun 06 $59 −$28 -47%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8? Jun 06 $246 −$87 -35%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $54 −$25 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6? Jun 06 $110 −$34 -31%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $98 −$94 -95%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $36 −$11 -31%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $17 −$5 -30%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $57 −$18 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10AM ET Jun 04 $30 −$30 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $21 +$56 +269%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 04 $48 +$4 +8%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 5? Jun 03 $20 +$51 +259%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 3? Jun 03 $36 −$31 -85%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3? Jun 03 $12 −$7 -60%
BNB Up or Down on June 3? Jun 03 $20 −$19 -95%
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on June 2? Jun 03 $10 +$34 +350%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on June 2? Jun 03 $46 +$305 +658%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 on June 2? Jun 02 $18 +$587 +3234%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1PM ET Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11AM ET Jun 01 $54 −$52 -95%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1? Jun 01 $45 −$17 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 1? Jun 01 $36 −$28 -77%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 1? Jun 01 $74 −$52 -71%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$8,777
other 1% −$223
sports 0% −$57
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? SELL Yes 70¢ $25 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? SELL Yes 67¢ $24 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 40¢ $25 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 37¢ $4 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 35¢ $1 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 14? SELL Yes 27¢ $101 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? SELL No 32¢ $123 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? SELL No 35¢ $35 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 10¢ $32 4h
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 18¢ $36 10h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 25¢ $50 10h
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 22¢ $44 10h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5 BUY Under 14¢ $14 12h
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) SELL Türkiye 22¢ $17 12h
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) BUY Türkiye 28¢ $22 12h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? BUY No 1¢ $28 35h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 43h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 3¢ $1 43h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 3¢ $1 43h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 8¢ $8 44h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 8¢ $8 44h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 12¢ $13 44h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? SELL No 38¢ $36 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? SELL No 38¢ $36 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 14¢ $15 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 21¢ $22 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 99¢ $442 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 16¢ $41 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 69¢ $136 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 69¢ $8 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)+11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 -34.6% -40.9% 32% 27% -15.1%
≤30d 92 +13.7% +2.8% 33% 28% +7.1%
≤90d 260 +2.9% -6.9% 36% 32% -3.8%
all 300 +23.1% +11.3% 40% 37% +18.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +11.3% 37% +18.5%
10% +0.7% 35% +7.1%
15% -9.0% 32% -3.2%
20% -18.0% 28% -12.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1922 history records