Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:33:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1B
0x1b13…debc
crypto · 95 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$173 -27%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$173 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$173
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses28 / 67
Open positions0
Markets (closed)95 / 95
Avg bet$7
Trades / day5.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 95 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$7 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET May 14 $12 −$10 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET May 14 $1 +$2 +174%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET May 14 $11 −$2 -22%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET May 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET May 11 $2 −$1 -39%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET May 11 $14 −$2 -15%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET May 11 $3 +$3 +100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET May 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET May 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 10 $10 −$9 -94%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET May 10 $6 −$1 -12%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET May 10 $6 −$1 -16%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET May 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET May 10 $35 −$10 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET May 10 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET May 10 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET May 10 $9 −$7 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET May 10 $11 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET May 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET May 10 $5 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET May 10 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET May 09 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET May 09 $7 −$5 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET May 09 $7 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET May 09 $2 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET May 09 $12 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET May 09 $2 +$1 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET May 09 $2 +$1 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET May 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET May 09 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET May 09 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET May 09 $6 +$4 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET May 09 $10 −$6 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET May 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 8? May 08 $16 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET May 08 $2 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET May 08 $5 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET May 08 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET May 08 $10 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET May 08 $11 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET May 08 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET May 08 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET May 08 $14 −$13 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET May 08 $5 +$2 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$173
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $11 28d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $1 28d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 28d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $3 28d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 28d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET SELL Down 71¢ $9 28d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $11 28d
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 31d
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 31d
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $1 31d
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 31d
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 31d
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Up 68¢ $20 31d
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $11 31d
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 31d
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 31d
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $2 31d
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 31d
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $1 31d
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 31d
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 31d
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 32d
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 32d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-47.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -59.6% -63.5% 17% 17% -23.5%
≤30d 9 -33.6% -39.9% 22% 22% -39.6%
≤90d 95 -42.3% -47.8% 29% 22% -37.1%
all 95 -42.3% -47.8% 29% 22% -37.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -47.8% 22% -37.1%
10% -52.8% 19% -43.1%
15% -57.4% 13% -48.6%
20% -61.6% 9% -53.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 293 history records