Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T16:55:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
1B 0x1b1a…ee6c crypto 131 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (136 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$20 (-2%) realized −$20 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR39%break-even
Win rate40%52W / 79L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day135.8pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$155
other 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (136 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 131 -5.7% -14.7% 40% 39% -21.9%
≤30d 131 -5.7% -14.7% 40% 39% -21.9%
≤90d 131 -5.7% -14.7% 40% 39% -21.9%
all 131 -5.7% -14.7% 40% 39% -21.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover135.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.7% 39% -21.9%
10% ← realistic here -22.9% 38% -29.4%
15% -30.3% 37% -36.2%
20% -37.2% 37% -42.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -14% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -14% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +5% → late -16% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$7 · ×1.1 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.72 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$20
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses52 / 79
Open positions0
Markets (closed)131 / 131
History coverage1d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day135.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 131 Trades
no open positions (41 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 24 $57 −$55 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 24 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 24 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 24 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 24 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 24 $5 +$6 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 24 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 24 $10 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 24 $11 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 24 $10 −$9 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 24 $10 −$3 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 24 $10 +$15 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 24 $31 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 24 $10 +$8 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 24 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 24 $16 −$10 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$4 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 24 $31 +$12 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 24 $31 +$28 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 24 $26 −$22 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 24 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 24 $10 −$5 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 24 $16 −$5 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$3 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$2 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 24 $5 +$8 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 24 $10 +$7 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 24 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 24 $10 −$5 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 24 $10 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 24? Jun 24 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 24 $5 +$6 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 24 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 24 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 24 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 24 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 24 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 24 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 24 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$3 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 24 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 24 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $57 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $35 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 252 history records