trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +40.1% | +26.7% | 100% | 100% | +15.2% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +6.6% | -3.5% | 78% | 67% | -12.8% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -17.4% | -25.3% | 50% | 45% | -14.8% |
| all | 24 | -13.0% | -21.3% | 54% | 46% | -14.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.3% | 46% | -14.5% |
| 10% | -28.8% | 33% | -22.7% |
| 15% | -35.7% | 25% | -30.1% |
| 20% | -42.0% | 17% | -37.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 27 | $8 | +$2 | +27% |
| Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 27 | $6 | +$2 | +42% |
| Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 26 | $6 | +$4 | +79% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Austria? | Jun 22 | $24 | +$3 | +12% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 20 | $20 | +$4 | +19% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $30 | +$3 | +10% |
| Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 31 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $12 | +$8 | +70% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | May 29 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will Nicolas Dalby win by KO or TKO? | May 14 | $12 | −$2 | -18% |
| Will Jeremiah Wells win by KO or TKO? | May 14 | $12 | −$2 | -18% |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? | May 14 | $12 | −$2 | -18% |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? | May 12 | $5 | +$1 | +14% |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | May 12 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | May 12 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | May 12 | $70 | −$70 | -100% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | May 12 | $11 | −$1 | -10% |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? | May 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? | May 10 | $75 | +$25 | +34% |
| Will the fight be won by submission? | May 10 | $51 | +$49 | +97% |
| XRP Up or Down - February 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET | Feb 20 | $6 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump and Harris debate before election? | Feb 20 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Ethereum all time high in 2024? | Feb 19 | $7 | +$3 | +47% |
| Will Kamala say "Unburdened" in August? | Feb 19 | $7 | +$6 | +89% |