Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:16:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1B
0x1b30…3b9d
sports · 636 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$259 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$258 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$258
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses250 / 381
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions5
Markets (closed)631 / 636
History coverage532d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day2.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 5 History 631 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$78
14 days−$83
30 days−$93
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 21¢ 18¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-12%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Raptors vs. Wizards Raptors 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bulls vs. Hornets Bulls 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Magic vs. Pistons Magic 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on February 17? Yes 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Hawks Cavaliers 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Warriors Knicks 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Hawks vs. Grizzlies Grizzlies 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Wizards vs. Pacers Wizards 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Nuggets vs. Raptors Raptors 72¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Lakers Lakers 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Lakers vs. Thunder Lakers 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Timberwolves vs. Spurs Spurs 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Pistons vs. Magic Pistons 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hawks vs. Hornets Hawks 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +49%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +76%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $3 +$5 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 09 $4 +$6 +141%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 09 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 09 $3 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -93%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 09 $4 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 08 $4 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$3 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 08 $3 −$2 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 08 $4 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 08 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 08 $3 −$2 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 08 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 72% −$215
sports 26% −$31
other 1% −$5
weather 1% −$1
economics 0% −$4
tech 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $2 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 4h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $0 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $1 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 28h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 29h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $2 29h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 33¢ $1 29h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 54¢ $4 45h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 12¢ $1 46h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 90¢ $4 46h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-21.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 172 -17.8% -25.6% 44% 35% -12.1%
≤30d 188 -18.6% -26.4% 43% 35% -12.6%
≤90d 230 -16.5% -24.4% 42% 36% -12.5%
all 631 -13.5% -21.8% 40% 37% -16.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.8% 37% -16.0%
10% -29.3% 32% -24.0%
15% -36.1% 30% -31.4%
20% -42.4% 26% -38.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.38 · official $10.38 (match) · 1818 history records