Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T01:57:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
1B 0x1b38…db4d crypto 1752 markets active 1h ago coverage 28d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 28d only
✗ bot/MM pace (62 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$17 (+0%) realized +$17 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate97%1740W / 56L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day62.4pace
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$4now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$87
7 days−$84
14 days−$80
30 days−$78
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% +$7
other 4% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (62 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 476 -9.0% -17.7% 90% 0% -17.5%
≤30d 1796 -2.2% -11.5% 97% 0% -11.5%
≤90d 1796 -2.2% -11.5% 97% 0% -11.5%
all 1796 -2.2% -11.5% 97% 0% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover62.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.5% 0% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -20.0% 0% -20.0%
15% -27.7% 0% -27.7%
20% -34.8% 0% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -5% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.27 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

28d coverage
Net worth$4
Realized+$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1740 / 56
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1796 / 1752
History coverage28d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day62.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1796 Trades
no open positions (49 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$2 -161%
XRP Up or Down - April 2, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 4, 10AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 54m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 59m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6h
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.01 · official $4.01 (match) · 3500 history records