Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:35:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1B
0x1b4d…24f6
sports · 154 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$6 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses106 / 46
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions2
Markets (closed)152 / 154
History coverage100d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day4.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 2 History 152 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$1
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Ilia Topuria 80¢ 80¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
CD Universidad Católica vs. CD Universidad de Concepción: Both Teams to Score Yes 53¢ 52¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-04-29? Yes 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will CD Concepción win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $2 $0 +18%
ITF Wichita: Edda Mamedova vs Ekaterina Khayrutdinova Jun 04 $1 +$1 +55%
Little Rock: Aidan Mayo vs Edas Butvilas May 26 $1 $0 -15%
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25? May 25 $2 $0 -26%
Will Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK end in a draw? May 25 $2 $0 +18%
Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-05-25? May 25 $6 −$5 -90%
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-24? May 25 $5 $0 +4%
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $5 $0 +2%
Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Argeș Pitești end in a draw? May 22 $5 $0 +9%
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-05-22? May 22 $1 +$1 +48%
Will NEOM SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw? May 21 $7 +$1 +12%
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21? May 20 $2 $0 +21%
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Aleksandar Kovacevic May 20 $4 −$2 -38%
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom - Map 2 Winner Apr 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Valorant: Gen.G Global Academy vs T1 Academy - Map 3 Winner Apr 29 $3 −$3 -100%
Warriors vs. Clippers Apr 29 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Apr 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-04-29? Apr 29 $1 −$1 -100%
T20 Series Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, Women: Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka Apr 28 $1 $0 +13%
Will Konyaspor win on 2026-04-27? Apr 28 $1 $0 +20%
Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-04-26? Apr 26 $5 $0 +8%
Will CD Santa Clara vs. SC Braga end in a draw? Apr 26 $2 $0 +2%
Will CA Osasuna vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw? Apr 26 $8 $0 +5%
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-26? Apr 26 $3 −$3 -90%
Pakistan Super League: Hyderabad Kingsmen vs Rawalpindi Pindiz Apr 26 $8 $0 +3%
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-25? Apr 25 $2 $0 +14%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25? Apr 25 $3 $0 +4%
Will Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw? Apr 25 $1 −$1 -61%
Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2026-04-24? Apr 25 $2 $0 +1%
Pakistan Super League: Hyderabad Kingsmen vs Islamabad United Apr 24 $2 $0 -0%
Pakistan Super League: Rawalpindi Pindiz vs Islamabad United Apr 23 $8 −$4 -49%
Pakistan Super League: Hyderabad Kingsmen vs Multan Sultans Apr 22 $44 +$1 +3%
Pakistan Super League: Karachi Kings vs Peshawar Zalmi Apr 22 $31 +$5 +18%
Pakistan Super League: Rawalpindi Pindiz vs Multan Sultans Apr 21 $49 +$2 +3%
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Quetta Gladiators Apr 21 $31 +$2 +8%
T20 Series Nepal vs UAE: Nepal vs United Arab Emirates Apr 20 $13 +$2 +12%
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-18? Apr 18 $11 +$2 +16%
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Rawalpindi Pindiz Apr 18 $9 +$3 +32%
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-04-15? Apr 16 $2 +$1 +32%
Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Quetta Gladiators Apr 15 $4 $0 +5%
T20 Series Namibia vs Scotland: Namibia vs Scotland Apr 15 $2 $0 +13%
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-03-07? Apr 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Apr 15 $3 $0 +1%
Valorant: Gen.G Global Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - VCL Korea: Playof Apr 15 $5 $0 -4%
Will Santos FC vs. Recoleta FC end in a draw? Apr 15 $3 +$2 +64%
Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-04-14? Apr 15 $7 $0 +7%
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-04-14? Apr 14 $5 $0 +2%
Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-04-14? Apr 14 $6 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Lavked - Map 2 Winner Apr 14 $5 $0 +4%
Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Multan Sultans Apr 13 $14 +$1 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 84% −$6
other 13% −$11
world 2% +$1
crypto 1% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca BUY Ilia Topuria 80¢ $1 42m
CD Universidad Católica vs. CD Universidad de Concepción: Both Teams t BUY Yes 53¢ $1 48m
Will CD Concepción win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 100¢ $2 56m
Will CD Concepción win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 84¢ $2 1h
ITF Wichita: Edda Mamedova vs Ekaterina Khayrutdinova BUY Ekaterina Khayrutdinova 64¢ $1 16d
Little Rock: Aidan Mayo vs Edas Butvilas SELL Edas Butvilas 63¢ $1 18d
Little Rock: Aidan Mayo vs Edas Butvilas BUY Edas Butvilas 73¢ $1 19d
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25? SELL Yes 43¢ $1 19d
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25? BUY Yes 56¢ $2 20d
Will Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $2 20d
Will Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK end in a draw? BUY Yes 83¢ $2 20d
Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-05-25? SELL Yes 9¢ $1 20d
Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-05-25? BUY Yes 87¢ $6 20d
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-24? BUY Yes 96¢ $5 20d
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-05-24? SELL Yes 100¢ $5 21d
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-05-24? BUY Yes 97¢ $5 21d
Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Argeș Pitești end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $5 23d
Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Argeș Pitești end in a draw? BUY Yes 90¢ $3 23d
Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Argeș Pitești end in a draw? BUY Yes 90¢ $2 23d
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-05-22? SELL Yes 100¢ $2 23d
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-05-22? BUY Yes 67¢ $1 23d
Will NEOM SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $4 23d
Will NEOM SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw? BUY Yes 91¢ $4 23d
Will NEOM SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw? SELL Yes 77¢ $4 23d
Will NEOM SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw? BUY Yes 66¢ $2 23d
Will NEOM SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw? BUY Yes 63¢ $1 23d
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21? SELL Yes 95¢ $2 25d
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21? BUY Yes 78¢ $2 25d
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Aleksandar Kovacevic SELL Felix Auger-Aliassime 71¢ $2 25d
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Aleksandar Kovacevic SELL Aleksandar Kovacevic 7¢ $0 25d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +18.0% +6.8% 100% 100% +6.8%
≤30d 13 +1.3% -8.3% 69% 46% -16.4%
≤90d 113 -5.2% -14.2% 69% 30% -10.5%
all 152 +1.3% -8.3% 70% 30% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.3% 30% -10.3%
10% -17.1% 13% -18.9%
15% -25.1% 7% -26.7%
20% -32.5% 5% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.12 · official $2.12 (match) · 435 history records