Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:22:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1B
0x1b58…6f11
crypto · 729 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$5,929 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6,026 · open −$96
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$2
Realized+$6,026
Unrealized−$96
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses294 / 434
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)728 / 729
Avg bet$69
Trades / day365.6
Drawdown45%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 728 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,745
7 days+$5,291
14 days+$6,026
30 days+$6,026
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $98 $2 −$96 (-98%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$30 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $109 +$51 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$59 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $113 +$47 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $106 −$106 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $74 −$42 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $68 −$68 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $78 +$82 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $38 −$6 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $95 +$33 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $112 +$16 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $201 +$55 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +490%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $30 +$54 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $17 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $36 +$108 +300%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $72 −$72 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $277 +$790 +286%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $122 +$78 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $321 −$321 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $76 +$180 +235%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $216 −$216 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $167 −$167 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $454 +$470 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $392 −$392 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $356 −$356 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $122 −$88 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $148 +$364 +246%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $279 −$23 -8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$5,929
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $14 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $24 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $38 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $27 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $6 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $10 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $8 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $22 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $23 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $23 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $12 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $14 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $14 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-3.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 617 +9.4% -1.0% 41% 40% +0.7%
≤30d 728 +6.2% -3.9% 40% 40% +1.4%
≤90d 728 +6.2% -3.9% 40% 40% +1.4%
all 728 +6.2% -3.9% 40% 40% +1.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover365.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.9% 40% +1.4%
10% ← realistic here -13.1% 37% -8.3%
15% -21.5% 32% -17.2%
20% -29.2% 30% -25.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.95 · official $107.32 · 3500 history records