Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T03:48:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
1B 0x1b5f…2c0a crypto 491 markets active 0h ago coverage 27d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 26d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (111 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$3,181 (+12%) realized +$3,181 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate61%298W / 193L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$56per market
Trades / day111.0pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 27d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$195
sports 0% −$12
tech 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (111 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 81 +7.2% -3.0% 75% 38% -5.4%
≤30d 491 -1.9% -11.3% 61% 33% -10.2%
≤90d 491 -1.9% -11.3% 61% 33% -10.2%
all 491 -1.9% -11.3% 61% 33% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover111.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 33% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.7% 25% -18.8%
15% -27.5% 19% -26.6%
20% -34.6% 12% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
45% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
6.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$13 vs −$22 · ×0.62 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.95 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

27d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$3,181
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses298 / 193
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)491 / 491
History coverage27d ⚠
Avg bet$56
Trades / day111.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 491 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 24 $30 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 24 $90 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 24 $151 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 24 $179 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 24 $30 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 24 $210 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 24 $151 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 24 $30 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 24 $30 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 24 $60 −$13 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 24 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 24 $13 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 24 $27 +$19 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 24 $28 +$7 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 24 $30 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 23 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 23 $90 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 23 $60 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 23 $60 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 23 $60 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 23 $90 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 23 $60 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 23 $241 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 23 $30 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 23 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 22 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 22 $201 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 21 $201 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 21 $50 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 21 $30 +$13 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 21 $30 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 21 $30 +$22 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 21 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 21 $27 +$22 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 21 $20 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 21 $57 −$4 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 21 $35 +$28 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 21 $30 +$20 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 21 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 20 $30 +$6 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 20 $30 +$28 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 20 $30 +$18 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 20 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 20 $30 +$12 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 20 $20 +$10 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 20 $21 +$13 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 20 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 20 $33 +$27 +82%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records