Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T11:50:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
1B 0x1b64…f8b5 crypto 319 markets active 1h ago coverage 64d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$9 (+0%) realized +$9 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate98%313W / 6L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$18per market
Trades / day5.1pace
Kalshi-fit91%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days−$19
14 days−$11
30 days+$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 82% +$62
other 9% −$67
finance 8% +$5
tech 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 -2.5% -11.8% 95% 0% -12.2%
≤30d 146 -0.0% -9.5% 98% 0% -9.2%
≤90d 319 +0.3% -9.3% 98% 0% -9.5%
all 319 +0.3% -9.3% 98% 0% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover5.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 0% -9.5%
10% -17.9% 0% -18.2%
15% -25.9% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.1% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$19 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.01 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

64d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses313 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)319 / 319
History coverage64d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day5.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 319 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $16 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $16 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$2 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 12? Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $16 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $16 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $16 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$16 -100%
XRP Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $49 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 10 $16 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 10 $16 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 10 $16 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 09 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 09 $16 −$16 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 07 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 07 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6AM ET Jun 07 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5PM ET Jun 06 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6? Jun 06 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 06 $16 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 06 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 05 $10 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 5? Jun 05 $29 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 17h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $15 20h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 21h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $15 37h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $50 40h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 40h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $16 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $30 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $8 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $16 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $16 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $16 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 3d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $16 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $16 3d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $14 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1794 history records