Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:25:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1B
0x1b6c…1014
crypto · 11 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$8
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses5 / 5
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)10 / 11
History coverage13d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day1.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 1 History 10 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$18
14 days+$8
30 days+$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 +$6 +62%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $26 +$10 +40%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 11 $10 −$6 -53%
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? Jun 08 $11 −$11 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $36 +$9 +24%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $4 +$19 +448%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? Jun 04 $21 −$21 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May? Jun 04 $26 +$12 +45%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 56% +$8
other 26% $0
sports 18% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+5.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +27.6% +15.5% 50% 50% +5.5%
≤30d 10 +16.6% +5.5% 50% 50% -4.7%
≤90d 10 +16.6% +5.5% 50% 50% -4.7%
all 10 +16.6% +5.5% 50% 50% -4.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +5.5% 50% -4.7%
10% -4.6% 50% -13.8%
15% -13.8% 40% -22.1%
20% -22.3% 20% -29.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.01 · official $0.11 (match) · 24 history records