Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T18:21:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
1B 0x1b6e…2c55 crypto 229 markets active 4d ago coverage 11d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (56 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$939 (-2%) realized −$939 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate78%179W / 50L
Whale WR73%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$168per market
Trades / day56.0pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$10
14 days−$1,229
30 days−$1,194
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$1,268
sports 0% +$32
politics 0% +$35
other 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (56 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-15.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 77 -4.3% -13.4% 81% 27% -9.6%
≤30d 229 -6.6% -15.5% 78% 37% -12.3%
≤90d 229 -6.6% -15.5% 78% 37% -12.3%
all 229 -6.6% -15.5% 78% 37% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover56.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.5% 37% -12.3%
10% ← realistic here -23.6% 16% -20.7%
15% -31.0% 10% -28.4%
20% -37.7% 7% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
51% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 73% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -10% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.4 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$21 vs −$99 · ×0.21 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.76 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

11d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$939
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses179 / 50
Whale WR (big bets)73%
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)229 / 229
History coverage11d
Avg bet$168
Trades / day56.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 229 Trades
no open positions (18 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $175 −$175 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $173 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $168 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $167 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $228 +$12 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $177 +$33 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $201 +$10 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $200 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $272 +$28 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $242 +$29 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $231 +$10 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $201 +$12 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $204 +$12 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $186 +$16 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $184 +$27 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $171 +$8 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $133 +$16 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $130 +$10 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$6 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $117 +$13 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$14 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $88 +$12 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $297 −$228 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $325 +$15 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $300 +$30 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $291 +$11 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $233 +$7 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $185 +$15 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $200 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$12 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $210 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$9 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $175 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $92 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $15 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $19 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $24 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $22 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $168 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $167 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $64 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $15 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $19 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $19 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $23 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $21 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $26 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $19 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $29 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $40 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 883 history records