Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T13:30:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
1B 0x1b7f…a90f crypto 49 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (58 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$29 (-1%) realized −$29 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate90%44W / 5L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$43per market
Trades / day58.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (58 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 -5.9% -14.9% 90% 2% -10.5%
≤30d 49 -5.9% -14.9% 90% 2% -10.5%
≤90d 49 -5.9% -14.9% 90% 2% -10.5%
all 49 -5.9% -14.9% 90% 2% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover58.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.9% 2% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -23.0% 0% -19.1%
15% -30.5% 0% -26.9%
20% -37.3% 0% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 22% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
95% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -11% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$13 · ×0.07 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.65 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$29
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses44 / 5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)49 / 49
History coverage1d
Avg bet$43
Trades / day58.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 49 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 18 $10 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 18 $75 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 18 $70 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 18 $70 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 18 $70 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 18 $70 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 18 $70 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 18 $5 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 18 $60 +$4 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 18 $60 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 18 $15 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 18 $60 +$5 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 18 $15 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 18 $55 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 18 $55 +$2 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 18 $55 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 18 $60 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 18 $60 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 18 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 18 $60 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 18 $55 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 18 $20 −$4 -22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 17 $60 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 17 $55 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 17 $59 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 17 $60 +$3 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 17 $60 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $40 −$40 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $40 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 17 $65 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $101 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $75 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $70 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $50 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $70 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $70 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $70 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $70 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $50 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $60 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $60 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $60 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $55 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $55 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $55 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $60 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $60 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 106 history records