Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:41:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1B
0x1ba1…ef52
sports · 131 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$46 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$46 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$46
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses53 / 78
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)131 / 131
History coverage18d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day10.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 0 History 131 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days+$3
14 days−$13
30 days−$46
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: TDK vs OG (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs OG 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid PH vs Team Falcons PH (BO7) - MPL Philippines Playoffs Team Falcons PH 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Execration (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs Execration 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage GLYPH 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Liquid 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Team Falcons 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: Red Hot Chili Pibble vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs Red Hot Chili Pibble 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will LGD Gaming win BLAST Slam VII? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Falcons 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs Grind Back 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Aurora 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dota 2: Execration vs REKONIX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs Execration 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will PARIVISION win BLAST Slam VII? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BetBoom Team 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs LGD Gaming 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Team Liquid 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30? Down 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX (BO5) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs GLYPH 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: BALU vs Flame Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Open Qualifier Playoffs BALU 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage GLYPH 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier OG 19¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage GLYPH 23¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +165%
Dota 2: Mentality Monster vs Ivory (BO3) - The International Southeast Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -6%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $1 +$1 +100%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 09 $1 $0 +21%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $1 $0 +18%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $1 +$2 +197%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $1 −$1 -99%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $1 −$1 -98%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $1 $0 -5%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $1 +$1 +89%
Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX (BO5) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Clos Jun 05 $2 −$2 -98%
Dota 2: Execration vs REKONIX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Jun 05 $1 −$1 -98%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $1 −$1 -98%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $1 −$1 -97%
Will BetBoom Team win BLAST Slam VII? Jun 04 $1 $0 +14%
Dota 2: Rostikfacekid Club vs TPaBoMaH Club (BO3) - Winline Star Serie Jun 04 $1 +$1 +101%
Will Team Yandex win BLAST Slam VII? Jun 04 $1 $0 -32%
Will Team Falcons win BLAST Slam VII? Jun 04 $1 $0 -8%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $1 +$1 +70%
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Execration (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia C Jun 04 $5 −$5 -98%
Dota 2: Grind Back vs Carstensz (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast As Jun 04 $1 −$1 -63%
Dota 2: Ramzes Club vs Daxak Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Playoffs Jun 04 $1 −$1 -98%
Dota 2: D family vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southe Jun 04 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $1 $0 -11%
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Carstensz (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Cl Jun 03 $6 +$1 +16%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 03 $1 −$1 -98%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 03 $1 $0 +0%
Dota 2: Red Hot Chili Pibble vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Jun 03 $1 −$1 -97%
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Hokori (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America Jun 03 $2 −$2 -98%
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Jun 03 $5 −$5 -98%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Jun 02 $6 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 01 $3 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 01 $1 +$1 +133%
Will LGD Gaming win BLAST Slam VII? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -98%
Will PARIVISION win BLAST Slam VII? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Pl May 31 $1 +$2 +179%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET May 31 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET May 31 $1 $0 +31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 82% −$35
crypto 14% −$8
other 3% −$3
finance 1% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 15h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $3 25h
Dota 2: Mentality Monster vs Ivory (BO3) - The International Southeast BUY Ivory 61¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $1 2d
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 94¢ $2 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 46¢ $1 2d
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 28¢ $1 4d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 69¢ $1 4d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 57¢ $1 4d
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 4d
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 33¢ $1 6d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY BetBoom Team 52¢ $1 7d
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY Team Falcons 41¢ $1 7d
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs SELL LGD Gaming 100¢ $2 7d
Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX (BO5) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Clos BUY GLYPH 48¢ $2 7d
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 52¢ $1 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 +19.7% +8.3% 67% 60% +3.7%
≤30d 131 -2.7% -12.0% 40% 38% -23.9%
≤90d 131 -2.7% -12.0% 40% 38% -23.9%
all 131 -2.7% -12.0% 40% 38% -23.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.0% 38% -23.9%
10% -20.4% 34% -31.2%
15% -28.1% 31% -37.8%
20% -35.1% 29% -43.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 257 history records