Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:26:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1B
0x1ba2…d212
sports · 432 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,292 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,419 · open −$579
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7,326
Realized−$2,419
Unrealized−$579
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses209 / 242
Whale WR (big bets)47%
Est. fees paid−$1,686
Open positions16
Markets (closed)451 / 432
History coverage24d
Avg bet$291
Trades / day132.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 16 History 451 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,778
7 days−$5,968
14 days−$4,496
30 days−$2,419
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Barbora Krejcikova Barbora Krejcikova 55¢ 50¢ $1,792 $1,615 −$177 (-10%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja Kraus Polina Kudermetova 53¢ 50¢ $1,466 $1,406 −$60 (-4%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Belinda Bencic Belinda Bencic 51¢ 50¢ $688 $674 −$13 (-2%)
HSBC Championships: Kamil Majchrzak vs Jiri Lehecka Jiri Lehecka 60¢ 62¢ $605 $630 +$25 (+4%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals 44¢ 36¢ $711 $577 −$134 (-19%)
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur Alex de Minaur 73¢ 74¢ $481 $493 +$12 (+3%)
Grass Court Championships: Nikola Bartunkova vs Coco Gauff Coco Gauff 60¢ 50¢ $561 $469 −$92 (-16%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell Kimberly Birrell 45¢ 74¢ $272 $453 +$181 (+66%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel Diane Parry 61¢ 84¢ $193 $264 +$71 (+37%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Himeno Sakatsume vs Alicia Dudeney Alicia Dudeney 52¢ 58¢ $204 $230 +$26 (+12%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar Anna Blinkova 56¢ 92¢ $108 $176 +$68 (+63%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Anhelina Kalinina Anhelina Kalinina 59¢ 88¢ $67 $101 +$34 (+50%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 63¢ 64¢ $80 $81 +$1 (+1%)
HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Rafael Jodar Rafael Jodar 68¢ 69¢ $53 $54 +$1 (+2%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm Zachary Svajda 54¢ 36¢ $80 $54 −$26 (-32%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar Anna Bondar 38¢ 8¢ $73 $16 −$57 (-78%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 50¢ 46¢ $17 $16 −$1 (-7%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz Ben Shelton 45¢ 46¢ $10 $11 +$0 (+3%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Harry Wendelken Aleksandar Vukic 60¢ 32¢ $7 $4 −$3 (-46%)
Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5 Under 37¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+170%)
Roland Garros WTA: Panna Udvardy vs Viktorija Golubic Panna Udvardy 55¢ 0¢ $648 $1 −$647 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Yannick Hanfmann 52¢ 0¢ $86 $0 −$86 (-100%)
Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5 Over 16¢ 0¢ $376 $0 −$376 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Los Angeles Dodgers 50¢ 0¢ $81 $0 −$81 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 78¢ 0¢ $194 $0 −$194 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Vit Kopriva Jun 14 $177 −$177 -100%
Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 14 $242 −$242 -100%
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 14 $81 −$81 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Hamburg European Open: Hugo Gaston vs Karen Khachanov Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres Jun 14 $533 −$533 -100%
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Alycia Parks vs Moyuka Uchijima Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Jun 14 $241 −$241 -100%
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Ethan Quinn Jun 14 $98 −$98 -100%
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Ugo Humbert Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 14 $23 −$23 -100%
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 14 $161 −$161 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 14 $70 −$70 -100%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 14 $69 −$69 -100%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals Jun 14 $75 −$75 -100%
Hamburg European Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Arthur Gea Jun 14 $161 −$161 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Geneva Open: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Jaume Munar Jun 14 $102 −$102 -100%
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets Jun 14 $160 −$160 -100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 14 $107 −$107 -100%
Hamburg European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex de Minaur Jun 14 $117 −$117 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 14 $160 −$160 -100%
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals Jun 14 $161 −$161 -100%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees Jun 14 $677 −$677 -100%
Hamburg European Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ignacio Buse Jun 14 $43 −$43 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 14 $80 −$80 -100%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 14 $698 −$698 -100%
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Janice Tjen vs Caijsa Hennemann Jun 14 $80 −$80 -100%
Geneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Learner Tien Jun 14 $80 −$80 -100%
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Alycia Parks vs Jil Teichmann Jun 14 $135 −$135 -100%
Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Jaume Munar Jun 14 $1,392 −$47 -3%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Barbora Krejcikova Jun 14 $1,811 −$177 -10%
Grass Court Championships: Nikola Bartunkova vs Coco Gauff Jun 14 $566 −$92 -16%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 14 $132 −$26 -20%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 14 $652 +$998 +153%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $80 +$45 +56%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec Jun 13 $34 +$11 +33%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron Jun 13 $8 +$3 +37%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $161 −$161 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $130 −$128 -98%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $824 +$139 +17%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic Jun 13 $139 −$139 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $760 −$749 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $758 +$265 +35%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $27 +$11 +43%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$1,660
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Kamil Majchrzak vs Jiri Lehecka BUY Jiri Lehecka 62¢ $3 25m
HSBC Championships: Kamil Majchrzak vs Jiri Lehecka BUY Jiri Lehecka 62¢ $3 25m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja BUY Polina Kudermetova 51¢ $75 49m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja BUY Polina Kudermetova 51¢ $25 49m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja BUY Polina Kudermetova 51¢ $32 49m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja BUY Polina Kudermetova 51¢ $75 49m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja BUY Polina Kudermetova 51¢ $32 49m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja BUY Polina Kudermetova 51¢ $75 49m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja BUY Polina Kudermetova 51¢ $75 49m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja BUY Polina Kudermetova 51¢ $32 49m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja BUY Polina Kudermetova 51¢ $75 50m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja BUY Polina Kudermetova 51¢ $32 50m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja BUY Polina Kudermetova 51¢ $75 50m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja BUY Polina Kudermetova 55¢ $80 50m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja BUY Polina Kudermetova 55¢ $28 50m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja BUY Polina Kudermetova 51¢ $75 50m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja BUY Polina Kudermetova 51¢ $75 50m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja BUY Polina Kudermetova 51¢ $26 50m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja BUY Polina Kudermetova 51¢ $75 50m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja BUY Polina Kudermetova 56¢ $80 50m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja BUY Polina Kudermetova 55¢ $18 50m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja BUY Polina Kudermetova 55¢ $66 50m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja BUY Polina Kudermetova 55¢ $13 50m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja BUY Polina Kudermetova 55¢ $10 50m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja BUY Polina Kudermetova 55¢ $12 50m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja BUY Polina Kudermetova 55¢ $80 50m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja BUY Polina Kudermetova 55¢ $28 50m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja BUY Polina Kudermetova 55¢ $28 50m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja BUY Polina Kudermetova 55¢ $4 50m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja BUY Polina Kudermetova 55¢ $10 50m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 140 -23.5% -30.8% 39% 38% -23.1%
≤30d 451 +1.4% -8.3% 46% 43% -11.3%
≤90d 451 +1.4% -8.3% 46% 43% -11.3%
all 451 +1.4% -8.3% 46% 43% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover132.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.3% 43% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here -17.0% 39% -19.8%
15% -25.1% 34% -27.5%
20% -32.4% 29% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7,325.86 · official $7,325.26 (match) · 3500 history records