Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:08:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1B
0x1ba7…67a1
sports · 453 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$187 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$104 · open −$160
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,415
Realized−$104
Unrealized−$160
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses194 / 243
Est. fees paid−$758
Open positions17
Markets (closed)437 / 453
History coverage50d
Avg bet$114
Trades / day13.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 17 History 437 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,060
7 days+$1,100
14 days+$827
30 days+$1,712
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 55¢ 54¢ $148 $144 −$4 (-3%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 54¢ 42¢ $171 $134 −$37 (-22%)
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Yunchaokete Bu Yunchaokete Bu 57¢ 54¢ $132 $125 −$7 (-5%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz Ben Shelton 47¢ 68¢ $74 $107 +$32 (+44%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $99 $100 +$1 (+1%)
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 66¢ 66¢ $99 $100 +$1 (+1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? No 53¢ 52¢ $99 $98 −$1 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 57¢ 46¢ $99 $81 −$18 (-18%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? Yes 56¢ 56¢ $74 $74 −$1 (-1%)
HSBC Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Marin Cilic Ugo Humbert 55¢ 55¢ $74 $74 −$1 (-1%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Germany 51¢ 50¢ $74 $74 −$1 (-1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $74 $73 −$1 (-2%)
Halle Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Miomir Kecmanovic Miomir Kecmanovic 53¢ 52¢ $74 $72 −$2 (-3%)
Halle Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoe Flavio Cobolli 52¢ 44¢ $74 $62 −$12 (-16%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Over 45¢ 44¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-1%)
HSBC Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino Adrian Mannarino 34¢ 34¢ $49 $49 −$1 (-1%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Harry Wendelken Aleksandar Vukic 61¢ 0¢ $109 $1 −$108 (-99%)
Spread: Lakers (-3.5) Lakers 52¢ 0¢ $108 $0 −$108 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox Seattle Mariners 55¢ 0¢ $121 $0 −$121 (-100%)
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 Over 52¢ 0¢ $206 $0 −$206 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 45¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria Adolfo Vallejo 47¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Zhizhen Zhang Zhizhen Zhang 58¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev Alexander Blockx 24¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins Miami Marlins 57¢ 0¢ $135 $0 −$135 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Mauthausen: Roman Safiullin vs Titouan Droguet Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $75 −$74 -99%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 14 $75 +$73 +97%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $116 +$229 +197%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $151 +$152 +101%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $191 +$145 +76%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $76 +$101 +134%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Jun 13 $50 −$49 -98%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -99%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 13 $277 −$273 -99%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $277 −$273 -99%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur Jun 13 $76 −$74 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $50 +$57 +114%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $100 −$99 -99%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $75 +$73 +97%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $235 +$194 +83%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 13 $163 +$146 +90%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $75 +$83 +109%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $150 +$115 +76%
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Giron (+1.5) Jun 12 $72 +$53 +73%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $14 +$16 +111%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $130 +$74 +57%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $40 −$40 -98%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $100 +$64 +63%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Jun 12 $50 +$57 +114%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 12 $245 +$194 +79%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 12 $138 +$97 +70%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $226 +$158 +70%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 12 $227 +$195 +86%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 12 $151 +$152 +101%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $235 −$232 -99%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $17 −$16 -98%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 12 $227 −$224 -99%
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Bonzi (+1.5) Jun 12 $74 −$73 -98%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 11 $51 −$50 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $74 −$74 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $144 −$143 -99%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $75 +$83 +109%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $183 +$189 +103%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $76 +$143 +188%
Set Handicap: Humbert (-1.5) vs Bonzi (+1.5) Jun 11 $95 +$67 +70%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 Jun 11 $245 +$194 +79%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 11 $101 +$135 +134%
Tucuman: Maximo Zeitune vs Arklon Del Pino Jun 10 $74 −$73 -99%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $217 −$214 -99%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp Jun 10 $152 +$110 +72%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $176 +$145 +83%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 10 $77 −$76 -98%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 09 $151 −$148 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Tom Gentzsch vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 09 $76 +$106 +140%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$110
other 2% −$142
crypto 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 45¢ $50 1h
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Germany 51¢ $75 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 53¢ $100 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $76 1h
HSBC Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Marin Cilic BUY Ugo Humbert 55¢ $75 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 56¢ $75 1h
HSBC Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Adrian Mannarino 34¢ $50 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz BUY Ben Shelton 47¢ $75 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Harry Wendelken BUY Aleksandar Vukic 61¢ $110 8h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 61¢ $9 8h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 61¢ $67 8h
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Yunchaokete Bu BUY Yunchaokete Bu 57¢ $133 11h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 40¢ $20 11h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 30¢ $20 11h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 27¢ $25 12h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson BUY Laura Samson 42¢ $50 16h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $50 17h
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) BUY Knicks 50¢ $75 17h
Halle Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Flavio Cobolli 52¢ $72 17h
Halle Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Flavio Cobolli 51¢ $3 17h
Halle Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Miomir Kecmanovic BUY Miomir Kecmanovic 53¢ $75 19h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 42¢ $76 19h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 56¢ $191 21h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY Atlanta Braves 49¢ $151 21h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $7 21h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 58¢ $277 22h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 58¢ $138 22h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 58¢ $138 22h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur BUY Adrian Mannarino 19¢ $76 23h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $100 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-15.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 77 +3.9% -6.0% 53% 53% +0.7%
≤30d 315 -0.0% -9.5% 47% 47% -5.2%
≤90d 437 -6.0% -15.0% 44% 44% -9.7%
all 437 -6.0% -15.0% 44% 44% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.0% 44% -9.7%
10% -23.1% 44% -18.3%
15% -30.5% 44% -26.2%
20% -37.3% 43% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,414.76 · official $1,414.76 (match) · 874 history records