Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:57:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1B
0x1bb8…0465
crypto · 448 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,450 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$359 · open −$16
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$27
Realized−$359
Unrealized−$16
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses150 / 296
Open positions2
Markets (closed)446 / 448
History coverage10d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day270.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 446 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$48
7 days−$317
14 days−$359
30 days−$359
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 59¢ 42¢ $29 $21 −$9 (-30%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Down 47¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+113%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 58¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+72%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 66¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+50%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 48¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+108%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 59¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+69%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Up 78¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 47¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+111%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 57¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+74%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $50 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $28 +$22 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $49 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $54 −$4 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $51 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $49 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $24 +$26 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $49 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $24 +$26 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $47 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $51 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $23 +$26 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $58 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $48 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $52 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $55 −$4 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $53 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$11 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $54 −$4 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $54 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$25 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $56 −$6 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $58 −$8 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $50 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $54 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $44 +$6 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $34 +$19 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $51 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$28 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $52 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $53 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $53 −$3 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$375
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $13 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $7 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $7 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $7 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $7 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $9 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $27 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $25 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $24 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $6 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $6 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $26 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $8 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $6 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 32m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-2.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 314 +11.8% +1.1% 33% 12% -13.0%
≤30d 446 +7.3% -2.9% 34% 13% -12.6%
≤90d 446 +7.3% -2.9% 34% 13% -12.6%
all 446 +7.3% -2.9% 34% 13% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover270.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.9% 13% -12.6%
10% ← realistic here -12.2% 8% -20.9%
15% -20.7% 7% -28.6%
20% -28.5% 6% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $27.12 · official $26.28 (match) · 3500 history records