trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +55.4% | +40.6% | 50% | 50% | +73.7% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +55.4% | +40.6% | 50% | 50% | +73.7% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -58.4% | -62.4% | 20% | 10% | -46.6% |
| all | 18 | +74.5% | +57.8% | 39% | 33% | +95.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +57.8% | 33% | +95.8% |
| 10% | +42.7% | 33% | +77.0% |
| 15% | +28.9% | 33% | +59.9% |
| 20% | +16.3% | 33% | +44.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 46¢ | 16¢ | $31 | $10 | −$20 (-66%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | Jun 29 | $81 | +$93 | +114% |
| Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 29 | $96 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $25 | −$24 | -98% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $61 | −$60 | -98% |
| AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score | May 04 | $21 | −$20 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | May 04 | $5 | $0 | +5% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | May 04 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? | Apr 28 | $31 | −$31 | -98% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28? | Apr 28 | $41 | −$41 | -98% |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026? | Apr 08 | $42 | −$42 | -100% |
| Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026? | Mar 29 | $27 | +$21 | +77% |
| Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026? | Mar 28 | $30 | −$7 | -22% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March? | Mar 26 | $100 | +$51 | +51% |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30? | Mar 26 | $42 | −$42 | -100% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | Mar 26 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026? | Feb 28 | $110 | +$880 | +800% |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Feb 28 | $7 | +$36 | +533% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)? | Feb 28 | $11 | +$77 | +685% |