Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1B
0x1bbc…c369
crypto · 100 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$1
Realized+$6
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses62 / 36
Open positions2
Markets (closed)98 / 100
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day100.0
Drawdown89%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 98 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$6
14 days+$6
30 days+$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 56¢ 18¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-69%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 50¢ $3 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 55¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 48¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 51¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 63¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 73¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 56¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 62¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 60¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 52¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 52¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 14¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 53¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 86¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 85¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 78¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 30¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 51¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 59¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 51¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 54¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 47¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 53¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 55¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +110%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +73%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 59m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 59m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 98 -0.2% -9.7% 63% 55% -7.9%
≤30d 98 -0.2% -9.7% 63% 55% -7.9%
≤90d 98 -0.2% -9.7% 63% 55% -7.9%
all 98 -0.2% -9.7% 63% 55% -7.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover100.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 55% -7.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 48% -16.7%
15% -26.2% 44% -24.7%
20% -33.5% 40% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.90 · official $2.55 · 162 history records